Contrarian DC Strategy - w Entry SL Pause and TrailingStopDonchian Channel Setup:
The strategy uses a tool called the Donchian Channel. Imagine this as two lines (bands) on a chart that show the highest and lowest prices over a certain number of past trading days (default is 20 days).
There's also a centerline, which is the average of these two bands.
Entry Conditions for Trades:
Buying (Going Long): The strategy considers buying when the price touches or falls below the lower band of the Donchian Channel. However, this only happens if there has been a pause after a previous losing trade. This pause is a number of candles where no new trades are taken.
Selling (Going Short): Similarly, the strategy considers selling when price reaches or exceeds the upper band of the Donchian Channel. Again, this is subject to a pause after a losing trade.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Each trade has a "Stop Loss" and "Take Profit" set. The Stop Loss is a preset price level where the trade will close to prevent further losses if the market moves against your position. The Take Profit does the same but locks in profit if the market moves in your favor.
The Stop Loss is set based on a percentage of the price at which you entered the trade.
The Take Profit is determined by the Risk/Reward Ratio. This ratio helps balance how much you're willing to risk versus the potential reward.
Trailing Stop Loss:
When a trade is profitable, the strategy should involve a "Trailing Stop Loss." This means the Stop Loss level moves (or trails) the price movement to lock in profits as the market moves in your favor.
For a buy trade, if the price moves above the centerline of the Donchian Channel, the Trailing Stop Loss should be adjusted in the middle between the entry price and the centerline. Viceversa for a sell trade, it should be adjusted in the same way if the price goes below the centerline.
IMPORTANT: There's no allert for the trailing stop at the moment.
Post-Stop Loss Pause:
If a trade hits the Stop Loss (i.e., it's a losing trade), the strategy takes a break before opening another trade in the same direction. This pause helps to avoid entering another trade immediately in a potentially unfavorable market.
In summary, this strategy is designed to make trades based on the Donchian Channel, with specific rules for when to enter and exit trades, and mechanisms to manage risk and protect profits. It's contrarian because it tends to buy when the price is low and sell when the price is high, which is opposite to what many traders might do.
Cari skrip untuk "take profit"
MA RSI @KINGThis Pine Script is designed to create a trading indicator with moving averages (MA) and relative strength index (RSI), along with arrow signals and background color changes based on those signals. Here's a description of its functions:
1. Moving Averages and RSI Calculation:
- Two moving averages (`fastMA` and `slowMA`) are calculated based on user-input lengths.
- The Relative Strength Index (`rsi`) is calculated based on a user-defined length.
2. Crossover Conditions:
- `crossoverUp` is true when the fastMA crosses above the slowMA and RSI is above an overbought level.
- `crossoverDown` is true when the fastMA crosses below the slowMA and RSI is below an oversold level.
3. Arrow Signals:
- Triangle-shaped arrows (`arrowUp` and `arrowDown`) are plotted below and above bars, indicating buy (green) and sell (red) signals, respectively.
4. Background Color Changes:
- The background color (`bgColor`) changes based on buy and sell signals.
- If there's a buy signal (`crossoverUp`), the background color is set to a light blue with 40% transparency.
- If there's a sell signal (`crossoverDown`), the background color is set to a light red with 40% transparency.
- On the next opposite signal, the background color is scaled up (transparency set to 80%) to indicate a stronger signal.
In summary, this script provides visual cues through arrows and background color changes to assist traders in identifying potential buy and sell signals based on moving average crossovers and RSI conditions. The background color variations aim to highlight the strength of the signal, with scaling based on consecutive signals in the same direction.
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1. Buy Signal:
- Condition: The arrow points up (green) with a background color indicating a buy signal.
- Confirmation: Ensure that there is a strong upward crossover (fastMA above slowMA) and RSI is above the overbought level.
2. Sell Signal:
- Condition: The arrow points down (red) with a background color indicating a sell signal.
- Confirmation: Ensure that there is a strong downward crossover (fastMA below slowMA) and RSI is below the oversold level.
3. Exit Signal:
- Condition: No arrow is present, and the background color is reset.
- Confirmation: Confirm that there is no active buy or sell signal.
Example Trading Rules:
Opening a Long Position (Buy):
- Enter a long (buy) position when:
- The green arrow appears with a light blue background.
- Confirm that the fastMA is above the slowMA.
- Confirm that RSI is above the overbought level.
Opening a Short Position (Sell):
- Enter a short (sell) position when:
- The red arrow appears with a light red background.
- Confirm that the fastMA is below the slowMA.
- Confirm that RSI is below the oversold level.
Exiting a Position:
- Close the position when:
- There is no arrow present (neither green nor red).
- The background color is reset, indicating no active signal.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Determine the size of your positions based on your risk tolerance and the size of your trading account.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and take-profit orders to secure profits.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Consider maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio in your trades.
Notes:
Backtesting: Before applying this strategy in a live market, it's crucial to backtest it using historical data to assess its performance.
Market Conditions: Adapt the strategy to different market conditions, and be aware that no strategy is guaranteed to be profitable.
Continuous Monitoring: Regularly monitor the performance of the strategy and make adjustments as needed.
Educational Purpose: This strategy is for educational purposes only. Always consult with financial professionals and use your judgment when making trading decisions.
Remember that trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's recommended to paper trade or use a demo account to test the strategy before risking real capital.
Best wishes on your trading journey! May your strategies be profitable, your risks well-managed, and your decisions guided by wisdom and success. Happy trading!
Good Mode RSI v2► Description:
"Good Mode RSI v2" is a powerful trading strategy designed to provide informed trading decisions. This script utilizes the popular RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to identify potential buying and selling opportunities in the market. It goes beyond the traditional use of RSI by incorporating carefully selected parameters to enhance its effectiveness. The strategy stands out for its customized combination of RSI levels and stop-loss/take-profit thresholds, allowing for precise trade entries and exits while effectively managing risk.
► How to Use:
To utilize the "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy, follow these steps:
1. Apply the script to your desired trading instrument and timeframe in TradingView.
2. Monitor the chart for trade signals generated by the strategy.
3. When the RSI reaches the sell level of 96, a sell signal is generated. Consider placing a sell order to take advantage of potential downward price movements.
4. take-profit level at 60 to secure profits in a strong downtrend.
5. When the RSI drops below the buy level of 4, a buy signal is generated. Consider placing a buy order to enter the market at a favorable price.
6. take-profit level at 30 to secure profits in a strong uptrend.
7. Monitor the RSI indicator on the chart to stay updated on its current value and anticipate potential trade signals.
Please note that trading decisions should be made based on a comprehensive analysis of multiple factors, including market conditions, trend analysis, and risk management. The "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy can serve as a valuable tool in your trading journey, but it should be used in conjunction with your own research and analysis.
► About it:
The "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy is not a mere replication or slight modification of existing strategies or indicators. It has been carefully crafted to provide traders with an original and purposeful approach to trading using the RSI indicator. The strategy's unique configuration of RSI levels and stop-loss/take-profit thresholds allows for improved performance and profitability. Backtesting results have shown impressive metrics, including a gain factor of 2.445 and a compelling profitability of 78.07% during the testing period.
► Referrals:
If you have any questions or need further assistance with the "Good Mode RSI v2" strategy, feel free to ask. Good luck with your trading endeavors!
Baseline Cross Qualifier Volatility Strategy with HMA Trend BiasFor trading ES on 30min Chart
Trading Rules
Post Baseline Cross Qualifier (PBCQ): If price crosses the baseline but the trade is invalid due to additional qualifiers, then the strategy doesn't enter a trade on that candle. This setting allows you override this disqualification in the following manner: If price crosses XX bars ago and is now qualified by other qualifiers, then the strategy enters a trade.
Volatility: If price crosses the baseline, we check to see how far it has moved in terms of multiples of volatility denoted in price (ATR x multiple). If price has moved by at least "Qualifier multiplier" and less than "Range Multiplier", then the strategy enters a trade. This range is shown on the chart with yellow area that tracks price above/blow the baseline. Also, see the dots at the top of the chart. If the dots are green, then price passes the volatility test for a long. If the dots are red, then price passes the volatility test for a short.
Take Profit/Stoploss Quantity Removed
1 Take Profit: 100% of the trade is closed when the profit target or stoploss is reached.
2 Take Profits: Quantity is split 50/50 between Take Profit 1 and Take Profit 2
3 Take Profits: Quantify is split 50/25/25.
Stratgey Inputs
Baseline Length
37
Post Baseline Cross Qualifier Enabled
On
Post Baseline Cross Qualifier Bars Ago
9
ATR Length
9
Volatility Multiplier
0
Volatility Range Multiplier
10
Volatility Qualifier Multiplier
2
Take Profit Type
1 Take Profit
HMA Length
11
[-_-] Level Breakout, Auto Backtesting StrategyDescription:
A Long only strategy based on breakout from a certain level formed by High price. It has auto-backtesting capabilities (you set ranges for the three main parameters: Lookback, TP and SL; the strategy then goes through different combinations of those parameters and displays a table with results that you can sort by Percentage of profitable trades AND/OR Net profit AND/OR Number of trades). So you can, for example, sort only by Net profit to find combination of parameters that gives highest net profit, or sort by Net profit and Percentage profitable to find a combination of parameters that gives the best balance between profitability and profit. The auto-backtesting also takes into account the commission which is set in % in the inputs (make sure to set the same value in properties of the strategy so that auto-backtesting and real backtesting results match).
NOTE: auto-backtesting only find the best combinations and displays them in a table, you will then need to manually set the Lookback, TP and SL inputs for real backtesting to match.
Parameters:
- Lookback -> # of bars for filtering signals; recommended range from 2 to 5
- TP (%) -> take profit; recommended range from 5 to 10
- SL (%) -> stop loss; recommended range from 1 to 5
- Commission (%) -> commission per trade
- Min/Max Lookback -> lookback range for auto-backtesting
- Min/Max TP -> take profit range for auto-backtesting
- Min/Max SL -> stop loss range for auto-backtesting
- Percentage profitable -> sort by percentage of profitable trades
- Net profit -> sort by net profit
- Number of trades -> sort by number of trades
3Commas Bot DCA Backtester & Signals FREEThis is a DCA Strategy backtester + signals, built to emulate the 3Commas DCA bots. It uses your choice of 4 different buy signals, 2 of which can be adjusted in the settings. Everything is customizable so you can backtest specific settings with different buy signals and find the best performing strategy for your risk tolerance and capital. It can be used to backtest strategies on stocks as well, but just make sure your base order is larger than the share price for the entire backtesting range or it will not calculate properly.
You can use this template to code your own buy signals and then backtest them as a DCA strategy if you know some basic pine script.
The indicator shows all of your backtesting orders on the chart. The red line is your take profit level, the blue line is your average price level, the white line is your first order and the green lines are your average down orders. If you enable a stop loss in the settings your stop loss will be shown as an orange line once all of your average down orders have been hit, it will not be set until price has dipped below your covered trading range.
These levels update when things change during backtesting so you can visualize your strategy and how it would perform as well as see if your percentage deviation is large enough to cover dips. When backtesting trades are taken, the chart will show where they were taken(in backtesting) along with info on those trades such as the number each order is, the size of that order and the percentage deviation that order is from the initial buy.
SENDING SIGNALS TO 3COMMAS
Tradingview cannot sync this backtester to 3Commas and with the way alerts are setup for strategies on Tradingview, the best option for you to give signals to your bot would be to use this backtester to figure out what trigger you want to use and then setup that indicator separately to send alerts to your bot. All of the indicators used for signals in this backtester are available for free and can be configured to match this backtester and send alerts to 3Commas for you. Just make sure you set your alerts to once per bar close and don’t use less than a 15 second timeframe because then you could trigger the Tradingview threshold for alerts and get your alerts shut off.
You can also use this backtester with your own buy triggers if you know a little pine script. Just make copy of the script and code in your own buy signals and see how it backtests.
INFO PANEL FOR ANALYZING YOUR STRATEGY
The right hand side of the screen will show an info panel that shows a lot of different information so you can quickly see your bot settings and how it performed right on the screen.
In the top right corner you will see in purple your bot settings. These include your stoploss % if turned on, take profit %, average down order %, average down order % multiplier, volume multiplier, max number of orders allowed and size of your base order.
The top section of the first column “Current Trade” shows these stats: the open trade’s average price, the open trade’s take profit price, the open trade’s PNL, how far price is from your open tarde’s take profit level in percentage, your open position size and number of open orders.
The bottom section of the first column “Overall Performance” shows these stats: total number of trades taken during backtesting range, the largest amount of trades that were open at one time during backtesting, the max drawdown, the average number of bars per trade, gross profit, net profit, percent profit from your initial capital, current portfolio value and your initial capital.
CUSTOMIZABLE OPTIONS TO FIND THE PERFECT STRATEGY
Stoploss On/Off
This will turn your stoploss on or off. By default it is set to off and will not affect anything unless turned on.
Stoploss Percentage
This is the percentage below your final average down order price that will be set as a stoploss to keep your account from going too far in the red on big dips.
Take Profit Percentage - This is the percentage of profit you want the trade to hit before taking profit on your entire DCA trade. This level updates everytime you average down.
Average Down Percentage - This is the percentage that price has to drop from your initial order to initiate your first safety order. If the Average Down Percent Multiplier is set to 1 then this percentage will be the same for every average down order.
Average Down Percentage Multiplier - This multiplies your Average Down Percentage so each safety order needs a larger percentage deviation than the previous one. This keeps your buys closer together at the beginning and further apart when you hit more orders so you can extend your trading range but still be aggressive when price is going sideways.
Volume Multiplier Per New Order - This multiplies the size of each trade based on your base order. If you set it to a 2x multiplier then each average down order will be 2 times the size of the last one. So for example, a $100 base order with a 2x multiplier would have these values for the first 3 average down orders: 200, 400, 800.
Size Of Base Order - This is the size of your first position entry and will be used as a starting point for the volume multiplier. If your base order is $100 then it will buy $100 worth of whatever crypto you are backtesting this on. If you are looking at stock charts, you need to make sure your base order is higher than the share price across the entire backtesting range or it will not perform correctly.
Max Number Of Orders - This is the maximum number of orders the bot can take, including your base order. Adjust this to suit the amount of capital you are willing to allocate to your bot based on how much money it will require to run according to your bot settings.
TIPS ON HOW TO USE FOR BEST RESULTS
If you don’t have a lot of capital to work with, then use longer timeframes with a reasonable take profit percentage so that you don’t need a lot of average down orders. You can also try keeping the volume multiplier close to 1.
You can use the 3Commas dca bot settings page to see how much capital you will need for your strategy if you match it to the settings you have on this indicator. You can also check to see how much of a percentage deviation your bot is covering to make sure you have a reasonable range to trade in and orders to cover big dips. You can also check your coverage by seeing how far down the chart the green lines cover, which are your average down orders.
Make sure the initial capital in the properties tab of the settings has enough to cover all of your orders otherwise you will get unrealistic backtesting results. Also, make sure you leave the order size in the properties tab on contracts so it calculates your trades correctly. The only settings you need to touch in the properties tab is the initial capital. Unless you are trading somewhere that has lower commission fees, then you can change that to match, but leave all the other settings as is for it to function properly.
Increasing the volume multiplier will make your average price and take profit target follow the price action a lot closer as price falls, but it can also lead to having very large orders very quickly once you get into the 1.5-3x multiple range. Try using a high volume multiplier with less safety orders and you will get better results, however you need to have money on the sidelines to add on major dips to keep your bot turning a profit. Be very careful with this as greed and impatience will hurt your overall performance. This bot is meant to make money with lots of small wins so don’t get greedy and make sure you have enough money to cover large dips. If you are being aggressive with your bot, then I recommend only using 25% or less of your portfolio to trade aggressively and then use the smart trade feature on 3commas to add chunks of funds to your trades when price dips below your last safety order. Or if you want it to run without any supervision, then use lower volume multipliers and have lots of safety orders that can cover entire bear markets and still keep buying lower.
It’s a good idea to have some capital on the sidelines that you can add in when price dips quickly. This will help lower your average price and allow your bot to get out in profit quicker. 3Commas bot has a smart trade feature that will allow you to track your average price when adding extra funds and it will automatically update your other orders which is very convenient. Look at the longer timeframes when price dips and only add chunks at major areas where price is very likely to bounce. Or you can be aggressive when trading and add to your position when price dips and is at a likely bounce zone to maximize profits.
Only trade coins that have a good amount of liquidity as the larger your orders get, the harder it will be to sell if there isn’t much liquidity. Also, beware of how large your first order is as it will usually be a market order and can move the market if there is not much liquidity.
Since this bot takes a lot of trades and performs best when taking small profits consistently, you will need to factor in exchange fees. The bot is set to .5% commission(you can change this) on the buy and sell orders as most exchanges charge that amount. Some exchanges offer no fee trading on certain coins so be sure to look around for those so you can keep the commissions and maximize profits.
I strongly encourage you to try out a lot of different setting combinations across multiple different coins and do it across a few months to see how it would have performed under various market conditions. This will help you get a better idea of how much of a percentage deviation you’ll need to be able to cover to keep your bot running and making constant profits. You can also use the deep backtesting feature of the strategy panel to see how it would have done, but just beware that the info panel of the indicator will not reflect deep backtesting results, only the normal backtesting range.
MARKETS
This backtester can be used on any market including crypto, stocks, forex & futures. You just need to make sure your base order is larger than the share price when using this on things besides crypto.
TIMEFRAMES
This backtester can be used on all timeframes.
[MT] Strategy Backtest Template| Initial Release | | EN |
An update of my old script, this script is designed so that it can be used as a template for all those traders who want to save time when programming their strategy and backtesting it, having functions already programmed that in normal development would take you more time to program, with this template you can simply add your favorite indicator and thus be able to take advantage of all the functions that this template has.
🔴Stop Loss and 🟢Take Profit:
No need to mention that it is a Stop Loss and a Take Profit, within these functions we find the options of: fixed percentage (%), fixed price ($), ATR, especially for Stop Loss we find the Pivot Points, in addition to this, the price range between the entry and the Stop Loss can be converted into a trailing stop loss, instead, especially for the Take Profit we have an option to choose a 1:X ratio that complements very well with the Pivot Points.
📈Heikin Ashi Based Entries:
Heikin Ashi entries are trades that are calculated based on Heikin Ashi candles but their price is executed to Japanese candles, thus avoiding false results that occur in Heikin candlestick charts, this making in certain cases better results in strategies that are executed with this option compared to Japanese candlesticks.
📊Dashboard:
A more visual and organized way to see the results and necessary data produced by our strategy, among them we can see the dates between which our operations are made regardless if you have activated some time filter, usual data such as Profit, Win Rate, Profit factor are also displayed in this panel, additionally data such as the total number of operations, how many were gains and how many losses, the average profit and loss for each operation and finally the maximum profits and losses followed, which are data that will be very useful to us when we elaborate our strategies.
Feel free to use this template to program your own strategies, if you find errors or want to request a new feature let me know in the comments or through my social networks found in my tradingview profile.
| Update 1.1 | | EN |
➕Additions: '
Time sessions filter and days of the week filter added to the time filter section.
Option to add leverage to the strategy.
5 Moving Averages, RSI, Stochastic RSI, ADX, and Parabolic Sar have been added as indicators for the strategy.
You can choose from the 6 available indicators the way to trade, entry alert or entry filter.
Added the option of ATR for Take Profit.
Ticker information and timeframe are now displayed on the dashboard.
Added display customization and color customization of indicator plots.
Added customization of display and color plots of trades displayed on chart.
📝Changes:
Now when activating the time filter it is optional to add a start or end date and time, being able to only add a start date or only an end date.
Operation plots have been changed from plot() to line creation with line.new().
Indicator plots can now be controlled from the "plots" section.
Acceptable and deniable range of profit, winrate and profit factor can now be chosen from the "plots" section to be displayed on the dashboard.
Aesthetic changes in the section separations within the settings section and within the code itself.
The function that made the indicators give inputs based on heikin ashi candles has been changed, see the code for more information.
⚙️Fixes:
Dashboard label now projects correctly on all timeframes including custom timeframes.
Removed unnecessary lines and variables to take up less code space.
All code in general has been optimized to avoid the use of variables, unnecessary lines and avoid unnecessary calculations, freeing up space to declare more variables and be able to use fewer lines of code.
| Lanzamiento Inicial | | ES |
Una actualización de mi antiguo script, este script está diseñado para que pueda ser usado como una plantilla para todos aquellos traders que quieran ahorrar tiempo al programar su estrategia y hacer un backtesting de ella, teniendo funciones ya programadas que en el desarrollo normal te tomaría más tiempo programar, con esta plantilla puedes simplemente agregar tu indicador favorito y así poder aprovechar todas las funciones que tiene esta plantilla.
🔴Stop Loss y 🟢Take Profit:
No hace falta mencionar que es un Stop Loss y un Take Profit, dentro de estas funciones encontramos las opciones de: porcentaje fijo (%), precio fijo ($), ATR, en especial para Stop Loss encontramos los Pivot Points, adicionalmente a esto, el rango de precio entre la entrada y el Stop Loss se puede convertir en un trailing stop loss, en cambio, especialmente para el Take Profit tenemos una opción para elegir un ratio 1:X que se complementa muy bien con los Pivot Points.
📈Entradas Basadas en Heikin Ashi:
Las entradas Heikin Ashi son operaciones que son calculados en base a las velas Heikin Ashi pero su precio esta ejecutado a velas japonesas, evitando así́ los falsos resultados que se producen en graficas de velas Heikin, esto haciendo que en ciertos casos se obtengan mejores resultados en las estrategias que son ejecutadas con esta opción en comparación con las velas japonesas.
📊Panel de Control:
Una manera más visual y organizada de ver los resultados y datos necesarios producidos por nuestra estrategia, entre ellos podemos ver las fechas entre las que se hacen nuestras operaciones independientemente si se tiene activado algún filtro de tiempo, datos usuales como el Profit, Win Rate, Profit factor también son mostrados en este panel, adicionalmente se agregaron datos como el número total de operaciones, cuantos fueron ganancias y cuantos perdidas, el promedio de ganancias y pérdidas por cada operación y por ultimo las máximas ganancias y pérdidas seguidas, que son datos que nos serán muy útiles al elaborar nuestras estrategias.
Siéntete libre de usar esta plantilla para programar tus propias estrategias, si encuentras errores o quieres solicitar una nueva función házmelo saber en los comentarios o a través de mis redes sociales que se encuentran en mi perfil de tradingview.
| Actualización 1.1 | | ES |
➕Añadidos:
Filtro de sesiones de tiempo y filtro de días de la semana agregados al apartado de filtro de tiempo.
Opción para agregar apalancamiento a la estrategia.
5 Moving Averages, RSI, Stochastic RSI, ADX, y Parabolic Sar se han agregado como indicadores para la estrategia.
Puedes escoger entre los 6 indicadores disponibles la forma de operar, alerta de entrada o filtro de entrada.
Añadido la opción de ATR para Take Profit.
La información del ticker y la temporalidad ahora se muestran en el dashboard.
Añadido personalización de visualización y color de los plots de indicadores.
Añadido personalización de visualización y color de los plots de operaciones mostradas en grafica.
📝Cambios:
Ahora al activar el filtro de tiempo es opcional añadir una fecha y hora de inicio o fin, pudiendo únicamente agregar una fecha de inicio o solamente una fecha de fin.
Los plots de operaciones han cambiados de plot() a creación de líneas con line.new().
Los plots de indicadores ahora se pueden controlar desde el apartado "plots".
Ahora se puede elegir el rango aceptable y negable de profit, winrate y profit factor desde el apartado "plots" para mostrarse en el dashboard.
Cambios estéticos en las separaciones de secciones dentro del apartado de configuraciones y dentro del propio código.
Se ha cambiado la función que hacía que los indicadores dieran entradas en base a velas heikin ashi, mire el código para más información.
⚙️Arreglos:
El dashboard label ahora se proyecta correctamente en todas las temporalidades incluyendo las temporalidades personalizadas.
Se han eliminado líneas y variables innecesarias para ocupar menos espacio en el código.
Se ha optimizado todo el código en general para evitar el uso de variables, líneas innecesarias y evitar los cálculos innecesarios, liberando espacio para declarar más variables y poder utilizar menos líneas de código.
Customizable Non-Repainting HTF MACD MFI Scalper Bot Strategy v2Customizable Non-Repainting HTF MACD MFI Scalper Bot Strategy v2
This script was originally shared by Wunderbit as a free open source script for the community to work with. This is my second published iteration of this idea.
WHAT THIS SCRIPT DOES:
It is intended for use on an algorithmic bot trading platform but can be used for scalping and manual trading.
This strategy is based on the trend-following momentum indicator . It includes the Money Flow index as an additional point for entry.
This is a new and improved version geared for lower timeframes (15-5 minutes), but can be run on larger ones as well. I am testing it live as my high frequency trader.
HOW IT DOES IT:
It uses a combination of MACD and MFI indicators to create entry signals. Parameters for each indicator have been surfaced for user configurability.
Take profits are now trailing profits, and the stop loss is now fixed. Why? I found that the trailing stop loss with ATR in the previous version yields very good results for back tests but becomes very difficult to deploy live due to transaction fees. As you can see the average trade is a higher profit percentage than the previous version.
HOW IS MY VERSION ORIGINAL:
Now instead of using ATR stop loss, we have a fixed stop loss - counter intuitively to what some may believe this performs better in live trading scenarios since it gives the strategy room to move. I noticed that the ATR trailing stop was stopping out too fast and was eating away balance due to transaction fees.
The take profit on the other hand is now a trailing profit with a customizable deviation. This ensures that you can have a minimum profit you want to take in order to exit.
I have depracated the old ATR trailing stop as it became too confusing to have those as different options. I kept the old version for others that want to experiment with it. The source code still requires some cleanup, but its fully functional.
I added in a way to show RSI values and ATR values with a checkbox so that you can use the new an improved ATR Filter (and grab the right RSI values for the RSI filter). This will help to filter out times of very low volatility where we are unlikely to find a profitable trade. Use the "Show Data" checkbox to see what the values are on the indicator pane, then use those values to gauge what you want to filter out.
Both versions
Delayed Signals : The script has been refactored to use a time frame drop down. The higher time frame can be run on a faster chart (recommended on one minute chart for fastest signal confirmation and relay to algotrading platform.)
Repainting Issues : All indicators have been recoded to use the security function that checks to see if the current calculation is in realtime, if it is, then it uses the previous bar for calculation. If you are still experiencing repainting issues based on intended (or non intended use), please provide a report with screenshot and explanation so I can try to address.
Filtering : I have added to additional filters an ABOVE EMA Filter and a BELOW RSI Filter (both can be turned on and off)
Customizable Long and Close Messages : This allows someone to use the script for algorithmic trading without having to alter code. It also means you can use one indicator for all of your different alterts required for your bots.
HOW TO USE IT:
It is intended to be used in the 5-30 minute time frames, but you might be able to get a good configuration for higher time frames. I welcome feedback from other users on what they have found.
Find a pair with high volatility (example KUCOIN:ETH3LUSDT ) - I have found it works particularly well with 3L and 3S tokens for crypto. although it the limitation is that confrigurations I have found to work typically have low R/R ratio, but very high win rate and profit factor.
Ideally set one minute chart for bots, but you can use other charts for manual trading. The signal will be delayed by one bar but I have found configurations that still test well.
Select a time frame in configuration for your indicator calculations.
Select the strategy config for time frame (resolution). I like to use 5 and 15 minutes for scalping scenarios, but I am interested in hearing back from other community memebers.
Optimize your indicator without filters : customize your settings for MACD and MFI that are profitable with your chart and selected time frame calculation. Try different Take Profits (try about 2-5%) and stop loss (try about 5-8%). See if your back test is profitable and continue to optimize.
Use the Trend, RSI, ATR Filter to further refine your signals for entry. You will get less entries but you can increase your win ratio.
You can use the open and close messages for a platform integration, but I choose to set mine up on the destination platform and let the platform close it. With certain platforms you cannot be sure what your entry point actually was compared to Trading View due to slippage and timing, so I let the platform decide when it is actually profitable.
Limitations: this works rather well for short term, and does some good forward testing but back testing large data sets is a problem when switching from very small time frame to large time frame. For instance, finding a configuration that works on a one minute chart but then changing to a 1 hour chart means you lose some of your intra bar calclulations. There are some new features in pine script which might be able to address, this, but I have not had a chance to work on that issue.
Webhook Starter Kit [HullBuster]
Introduction
This is an open source strategy which provides a framework for webhook enabled projects. It is designed to work out-of-the-box on any instrument triggering on an intraday bar interval. This is a full featured script with an emphasis on actual trading at a brokerage through the TradingView alert mechanism and without requiring browser plugins.
The source code is written in a self documenting style with clearly defined sections. The sections “communicate” with each other through state variables making it easy for the strategy to evolve and improve. This is an excellent place for Pine Language beginners to start their strategy building journey. The script exhibits many Pine Language features which will certainly ad power to your script building abilities.
This script employs a basic trend follow strategy utilizing a forward pyramiding technique. Trend detection is implemented through the use of two higher time frame series. The market entry setup is a Simple Moving Average crossover. Positions exit by passing through conditional take profit logic. The script creates ten indicators including a Zscore oscillator to measure support and resistance levels. The indicator parameters are exposed through 47 strategy inputs segregated into seven sections. All of the inputs are equipped with detailed tool tips to help you get started.
To improve the transition from simulation to execution, strategy.entry and strategy.exit calls show enhanced message text with embedded keywords that are combined with the TradingView placeholders at alert time. Thereby, enabling a single JSON message to generate multiple execution events. This is genius stuff from the Pine Language development team. Really excellent work!
This document provides a sample alert message that can be applied to this script with relatively little modification. Without altering the code, the strategy inputs can alter the behavior to generate thousands of orders or simply a few dozen. It can be applied to crypto, stocks or forex instruments. A good way to look at this script is as a webhook lab that can aid in the development of your own endpoint processor, impress your co-workers and have hours of fun.
By no means is a webhook required or even necessary to benefit from this script. The setups, exits, trend detection, pyramids and DCA algorithms can be easily replaced with more sophisticated versions. The modular design of the script logic allows you to incrementally learn and advance this script into a functional trading system that you can be proud of.
Design
This is a trend following strategy that enters long above the trend line and short below. There are five trend lines that are visible by default but can be turned off in Section 7. Identified, in frequency order, as follows:
1. - EMA in the chart time frame. Intended to track price pressure. Configured in Section 3.
2. - ALMA in the higher time frame specified in Section 2 Signal Line Period.
3. - Linear Regression in the higher time frame specified in Section 2 Signal Line Period.
4. - Linear Regression in the higher time frame specified in Section 2 Signal Line Period.
5. - DEMA in the higher time frame specified in Section 2 Trend Line Period.
The Blue, Green and Orange lines are signal lines are on the same time frame. The time frame selected should be at least five times greater than the chart time frame. The Purple line represents the trend line for which prices above the line suggest a rising market and prices below a falling market. The time frame selected for the trend should be at least five times greater than the signal lines.
Three oscillators are created as follows:
1. Stochastic - In the chart time frame. Used to enter forward pyramids.
2. Stochastic - In the Trend period. Used to detect exit conditions.
3. Zscore - In the Signal period. Used to detect exit conditions.
The Stochastics are configured identically other than the time frame. The period is set in Section 2.
Two Simple Moving Averages provide the trade entry conditions in the form of a crossover. Crossing up is a long entry and down is a short. This is in fact the same setup you get when you select a basic strategy from the Pine editor. The crossovers are configured in Section 3. You can see where the crosses are occurring by enabling Show Entry Regions in Section 7.
The script has the capacity for pyramids and DCA. Forward pyramids are enabled by setting the Pyramid properties tab with a non zero value. In this case add on trades will enter the market on dips above the position open price. This process will continue until the trade exits. Downward pyramids are available in Crypto and Range mode only. In this case add on trades are placed below the entry price in the drawdown space until the stop is hit. To enable downward pyramids set the Pyramid Minimum Span In Section 1 to a non zero value.
This implementation of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) triggers off consecutive losses. Each loss in a run increments a sequence number. The position size is increased as a multiple of this sequence. When the position eventually closes at a profit the sequence is reset. DCA is enabled by setting the Maximum DCA Increments In Section 1 to a non zero value.
It should be noted that the pyramid and DCA features are implemented using a rudimentary design and as such do not perform with the precision of my invite only scripts. They are intended as a feature to stress test your webhook endpoint. As is, you will need to buttress the logic for it to be part of an automated trading system. It is for this reason that I did not apply a Martingale algorithm to this pyramid implementation. But, hey, it’s an open source script so there is plenty of room for learning and your own experimentation.
How does it work
The overall behavior of the script is governed by the Trading Mode selection in Section 1. It is the very first input so you should think about what behavior you intend for this strategy at the onset of the configuration. As previously discussed, this script is designed to be a trend follower. The trend being defined as where the purple line is predominately heading. In BiDir mode, SMA crossovers above the purple line will open long positions and crosses below the line will open short. If pyramiding is enabled add on trades will accumulate on dips above the entry price. The value applied to the Minimum Profit input in Section 1 establishes the threshold for a profitable exit. This is not a hard number exit. The conditional exit logic must be satisfied in order to permit the trade to close. This is where the effort put into the indicator calibration is realized. There are four ways the trade can exit at a profit:
1. Natural exit. When the blue line crosses the green line the trade will close. For a long position the blue line must cross under the green line (downward). For a short the blue must cross over the green (upward).
2. Alma / Linear Regression event. The distance the blue line is from the green and the relative speed the cross is experiencing determines this event. The activation thresholds are set in Section 6 and relies on the period and length set in Section 2. A long position will exit on an upward thrust which exceeds the activation threshold. A short will exit on a downward thrust.
3. Exponential event. The distance the yellow line is from the blue and the relative speed the cross is experiencing determines this event. The activation thresholds are set in Section 3 and relies on the period and length set in the same section.
4. Stochastic event. The purple line stochastic is used to measure overbought and over sold levels with regard to position exits. Signal line positions combined with a reading over 80 signals a long profit exit. Similarly, readings below 20 signal a short profit exit.
Another, optional, way to exit a position is by Bale Out. You can enable this feature in Section 1. This is a handy way to reduce the risk when carrying a large pyramid stack. Instead of waiting for the entire position to recover we exit early (bale out) as soon as the profit value has doubled.
There are lots of ways to implement a bale out but the method I used here provides a succinct example. Feel free to improve on it if you like. To see where the Bale Outs occur, enable Show Bale Outs in Section 7. Red labels are rendered below each exit point on the chart.
There are seven selectable Trading Modes available from the drop down in Section 1:
1. Long - Uses the strategy.risk.allow_entry_in to execute long only trades. You will still see shorts on the chart.
2. Short - Uses the strategy.risk.allow_entry_in to execute short only trades. You will still see long trades on the chart.
3. BiDir - This mode is for margin trading with a stop. If a long position was initiated above the trend line and the price has now fallen below the trend, the position will be reversed after the stop is hit. Forward pyramiding is available in this mode if you set the Pyramiding value in the Properties tab. DCA can also be activated.
4. Flip Flop - This is a bidirectional trading mode that automatically reverses on a trend line crossover. This is distinctively different from BiDir since you will get a reversal even without a stop which is advantageous in non-margin trading.
5. Crypto - This mode is for crypto trading where you are buying the coins outright. In this case you likely want to accumulate coins on a crash. Especially, when all the news outlets are talking about the end of Bitcoin and you see nice deep valleys on the chart. Certainly, under these conditions, the market will be well below the purple line. No margin so you can’t go short. Downward pyramids are enabled for Crypto mode when two conditions are met. First the Pyramiding value in the Properties tab must be non zero. Second the Pyramid Minimum Span in Section 1 must be non zero.
6. Range - This is a counter trend trading mode. Longs are entered below the purple trend line and shorts above. Useful when you want to test your webhook in a market where the trend line is bisecting the signal line series. Remember that this strategy is a trend follower. It’s going to get chopped out in a range bound market. By turning on the Range mode you will at least see profitable trades while stuck in the range. However, when the market eventually picks a direction, this mode will sustain losses. This range trading mode is a rudimentary implementation that will need a lot of improvement if you want to create a reliable switch hitter (trend/range combo).
7. No Trade. Useful when setting up the trend lines and the entry and exit is not important.
Once in the trade, long or short, the script tests the exit condition on every bar. If not a profitable exit then it checks if a pyramid is required. As mentioned earlier, the entry setups are quite primitive. Although they can easily be replaced by more sophisticated algorithms, what I really wanted to show is the diminished role of the position entry in the overall life of the trade. Professional traders spend much more time on the management of the trade beyond the market entry. While your trade entry is important, you can get in almost anywhere and still land a profitable exit.
If DCA is enabled, the size of the position will increase in response to consecutive losses. The number of times the position can increase is limited by the number set in Maximum DCA Increments of Section 1. Once the position breaks the losing streak the trade size will return the default quantity set in the Properties tab. It should be noted that the Initial Capital amount set in the Properties tab does not affect the simulation in the same way as a real account. In reality, running out of money will certainly halt trading. In fact, your account would be frozen long before the last penny was committed to a trade. On the other hand, TradingView will keep running the simulation until the current bar even if your funds have been technically depleted.
Entry and exit use the strategy.entry and strategy.exit calls respectfully. The alert_message parameter has special keywords that the endpoint expects to properly calculate position size and message sequence. The alert message will embed these keywords in the JSON object through the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} placeholder. You should use whatever keywords are expected from the endpoint you intend to webhook in to.
Webhook Integration
The TradingView alerts dialog provides a way to connect your script to an external system which could actually execute your trade. This is a fantastic feature that enables you to separate the data feed and technical analysis from the execution and reporting systems. Using this feature it is possible to create a fully automated trading system entirely on the cloud. Of course, there is some work to get it all going in a reliable fashion. Being a strategy type script place holders such as {{strategy.position_size}} can be embedded in the alert message text. There are more than 10 variables which can write internal script values into the message for delivery to the specified endpoint.
Entry and exit use the strategy.entry and strategy.exit calls respectfully. The alert_message parameter has special keywords that my endpoint expects to properly calculate position size and message sequence. The alert message will embed these keywords in the JSON object through the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} placeholder. You should use whatever keywords are expected from the endpoint you intend to webhook in to.
Here is an excerpt of the fields I use in my webhook signal:
"broker_id": "kraken",
"account_id": "XXX XXXX XXXX XXXX",
"symbol_id": "XMRUSD",
"action": "{{strategy.order.action}}",
"strategy": "{{strategy.order.id}}",
"lots": "{{strategy.order.contracts}}",
"price": "{{strategy.order.price}}",
"comment": "{{strategy.order.alert_message}}",
"timestamp": "{{time}}"
Though TradingView does a great job in dispatching your alert this feature does come with a few idiosyncrasies. Namely, a single transaction call in your script may cause multiple transmissions to the endpoint. If you are using placeholders each message describes part of the transaction sequence. A good example is closing a pyramid stack. Although the script makes a single strategy.close() call, the endpoint actually receives a close message for each pyramid trade. The broker, on the other hand, only requires a single close. The incongruity of this situation is exacerbated by the possibility of messages being received out of sequence. Depending on the type of order designated in the message, a close or a reversal. This could have a disastrous effect on your live account. This broker simulator has no idea what is actually going on at your real account. Its just doing the job of running the simulation and sending out the computed results. If your TradingView simulation falls out of alignment with the actual trading account lots of really bad things could happen. Like your script thinks your are currently long but the account is actually short. Reversals from this point forward will always be wrong with no one the wiser. Human intervention will be required to restore congruence. But how does anyone find out this is occurring? In closed systems engineering this is known as entropy. In practice your webhook logic should be robust enough to detect these conditions. Be generous with the placeholder usage and give the webhook code plenty of information to compare states. Both issuer and receiver. Don’t blindly commit incoming signals without verifying system integrity.
Setup
The following steps provide a very brief set of instructions that will get you started on your first configuration. After you’ve gone through the process a couple of times, you won’t need these anymore. It’s really a simple script after all. I have several example configurations that I used to create the performance charts shown. I can share them with you if you like. Of course, if you’ve modified the code then these steps are probably obsolete.
There are 47 inputs divided into seven sections. For the most part, the configuration process is designed to flow from top to bottom. Handy, tool tips are available on every field to help get you through the initial setup.
Step 1. Input the Base Currency and Order Size in the Properties tab. Set the Pyramiding value to zero.
Step 2. Select the Trading Mode you intend to test with from the drop down in Section 1. I usually select No Trade until I’ve setup all of the trend lines, profit and stop levels.
Step 3. Put in your Minimum Profit and Stop Loss in the first section. This is in pips or currency basis points (chart right side scale). Remember that the profit is taken as a conditional exit not a fixed limit. The actual profit taken will almost always be greater than the amount specified. The stop loss, on the other hand, is indeed a hard number which is executed by the TradingView broker simulator when the threshold is breached.
Step 4. Apply the appropriate value to the Tick Scalar field in Section 1. This value is used to remove the pipette from the price. You can enable the Summary Report in Section 7 to see the TradingView minimum tick size of the current chart.
Step 5. Apply the appropriate Price Normalizer value in Section 1. This value is used to normalize the instrument price for differential calculations. Basically, we want to increase the magnitude to significant digits to make the numbers more meaningful in comparisons. Though I have used many normalization techniques, I have always found this method to provide a simple and lightweight solution for less demanding applications. Most of the time the default value will be sufficient. The Tick Scalar and Price Normalizer value work together within a single calculation so changing either will affect all delta result values.
Step 6. Turn on the trend line plots in Section 7. Then configure Section 2. Try to get the plots to show you what’s really happening not what you want to happen. The most important is the purple trend line. Select an interval and length that seem to identify where prices tend to go during non-consolidation periods. Remember that a natural exit is when the blue crosses the green line.
Step 7. Enable Show Event Regions in Section 7. Then adjust Section 6. Blue background fills are spikes and red fills are plunging prices. These measurements should be hard to come by so you should see relatively few fills on the chart if you’ve set this up as intended. Section 6 includes the Zscore oscillator the state of which combines with the signal lines to detect statistically significant price movement. The Zscore is a zero based calculation with positive and negative magnitude readings. You want to input a reasonably large number slightly below the maximum amplitude seen on the chart. Both rise and fall inputs are entered as a positive real number. You can easily use my code to create a separate indicator if you want to see it in action. The default value is sufficient for most configurations.
Step 8. Turn off Show Event Regions and enable Show Entry Regions in Section 7. Then adjust Section 3. This section contains two parts. The entry setup crossovers and EMA events. Adjust the crossovers first. That is the Fast Cross Length and Slow Cross Length. The frequency of your trades will be shown as blue and red fills. There should be a lot. Then turn off Show Event Regions and enable Display EMA Peaks. Adjust all the fields that have the word EMA. This is actually the yellow line on the chart. The blue and red fills should show much less than the crossovers but more than event fills shown in Step 7.
Step 9. Change the Trading Mode to BiDir if you selected No Trades previously. Look on the chart and see where the trades are occurring. Make adjustments to the Minimum Profit and Stop Offset in Section 1 if necessary. Wider profits and stops reduce the trade frequency.
Step 10. Go to Section 4 and 5 and make fine tuning adjustments to the long and short side.
Example Settings
To reproduce the performance shown on the chart please use the following configuration: (Bitcoin on the Kraken exchange)
1. Select XBTUSD Kraken as the chart symbol.
2. On the properties tab set the Order Size to: 0.01 Bitcoin
3. On the properties tab set the Pyramiding to: 12
4. In Section 1: Select “Crypto” for the Trading Model
5. In Section 1: Input 2000 for the Minimum Profit
6. In Section 1: Input 0 for the Stop Offset (No Stop)
7. In Section 1: Input 10 for the Tick Scalar
8. In Section 1: Input 1000 for the Price Normalizer
9. In Section 1: Input 2000 for the Pyramid Minimum Span
10. In Section 1: Check mark the Position Bale Out
11. In Section 2: Input 60 for the Signal Line Period
12. In Section 2: Input 1440 for the Trend Line Period
13. In Section 2: Input 5 for the Fast Alma Length
14. In Section 2: Input 22 for the Fast LinReg Length
15. In Section 2: Input 100 for the Slow LinReg Length
16. In Section 2: Input 90 for the Trend Line Length
17. In Section 2: Input 14 Stochastic Length
18. In Section 3: Input 9 Fast Cross Length
19. In Section 3: Input 24 Slow Cross Length
20. In Section 3: Input 8 Fast EMA Length
21. In Section 3: Input 10 Fast EMA Rise NetChg
22. In Section 3: Input 1 Fast EMA Rise ROC
23. In Section 3: Input 10 Fast EMA Fall NetChg
24. In Section 3: Input 1 Fast EMA Fall ROC
25. In Section 4: Check mark the Long Natural Exit
26. In Section 4: Check mark the Long Signal Exit
27. In Section 4: Check mark the Long Price Event Exit
28. In Section 4: Check mark the Long Stochastic Exit
29. In Section 5: Check mark the Short Natural Exit
30. In Section 5: Check mark the Short Signal Exit
31. In Section 5: Check mark the Short Price Event Exit
32. In Section 5: Check mark the Short Stochastic Exit
33. In Section 6: Input 120 Rise Event NetChg
34. In Section 6: Input 1 Rise Event ROC
35. In Section 6: Input 5 Min Above Zero ZScore
36. In Section 6: Input 120 Fall Event NetChg
37. In Section 6: Input 1 Fall Event ROC
38. In Section 6: Input 5 Min Below Zero ZScore
In this configuration we are trading in long only mode and have enabled downward pyramiding. The purple trend line is based on the day (1440) period. The length is set at 90 days so it’s going to take a while for the trend line to alter course should this symbol decide to node dive for a prolonged amount of time. Your trades will still go long under those circumstances. Since downward accumulation is enabled, your position size will grow on the way down.
The performance example is Bitcoin so we assume the trader is buying coins outright. That being the case we don’t need a stop since we will never receive a margin call. New buy signals will be generated when the price exceeds the magnitude and speed defined by the Event Net Change and Rate of Change.
Feel free to PM me with any questions related to this script. Thank you and happy trading!
CFTC RULE 4.41
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
Complete Trend Trading System [Fhenry0331]This system was designed for the beginner trader to make money swing trading. Your losses will be small and your gains will be mostly large. You will show consistent profit. Period.
The system works on any security you like to trade. I used GBPUSD as an example because of the up swing and down swing it had recently. I tried to put as much information of how the system works in the chart. Hope it helps and is not to cluttered.
I will reiterate how the system works here: Everything is based off of closed price.
Legend
Uptrend: Buy
Green bar: initial start of an uptrend or uptrend continuing. Place order above that bar. If the initial bar does not stray too far from the MVWAP , I will place orders above subsequent bars if no filled occurred.
If initial start of the trend is missed, I will wait for the pullback. A pullback is a close below the MVWAP, and a close above the EMA (Low), RSI is above 50. Orders are placed above the pullback bars with plotted char "B" and also plotted green triangle up. Again orders are placed above those bars. the bars do not notate automatic buys. Don't chase anything. You will miss the initial bar on something because of news or earnings and it rocket up. Just wait, it will pullback. If it doesn't, to hell with it, on to the next.
Take profits: In the indicator you will see "T." That notates to take some profits. It is a suggestion. I was always told to take profits into spikes, as well as you can never lose money if you take profits. Up to you if you want to scale out and take the suggested profits or not.
Exit Completely: In an uptrend, close your entire position on bars colored yellow or red. (Again, closed bars)
In uptrend bars colored orange and black, do nothing, they are just pullback bars. Look for the buy pullback signal, then follow pullback buy rules for an uptrend.
Downtrend: Short
Red bar: initial start of a downtrend or downtrend continuing. Place order below the bar. If the initial bar does not stray too far fro the MVWAP, place orders below subsequent bars.
If initial start on the downtrend is missed, wait for the pullback. A pullback is a close above the MVWAP, and close below the EMA(Low). RSI is below 50. Orders are placed below the pullback bars with the plotted char "S" and also plotted red triangle. Again those bars are not automatic shorts, orders are placed below them. Don't chase anything. Wait for price to come into your plan. The idea FOMO is the stupidest thing ever, how can you miss out on something when it is always there. The market is always there and something will come into your zone. Chill.
"T": same as in uptrend, suggestion to take some profits.
Exit Completely: In a downtrend, close your entire position on bars colored orange or green.
In downtrend you will see bars colored yellow and black, do nothing, they are pullback bars. Look for the pullback short signal and follow pullback short rules.
If you have any questions get at me. Take a look at it on what you trade. Flip it through different securities.
Best of luck in all you do.
P.S. You should not take a trade right before earnings. You should also exit a trade right before earnings.
AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation [Eddie_Bitcoin]🧠 Philosophy of the Strategy
The AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation Strategy by Eddie_Bitcoin is a carefully engineered trend-following system built specifically for the highly volatile and sentiment-driven world of altcoins and memecoins.
This strategy recognizes that crypto markets—especially niche sectors like memecoins—are not only influenced by individual price action but also by the relative strength or weakness of their broader sector. Hence, it attempts to improve the reliability of trading signals by requiring alignment between a specific coin’s trend and its sector-wide index trend.
Rather than treating each crypto asset in isolation, this strategy dynamically incorporates real-time dominance metrics from custom indices (OTHERS.D and MEME.D) and combines them with local price action through dual exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers. Only when both the asset and its sector are moving in the same direction does it allow for trade entries—making it a confluence-based system rather than a single-signal strategy.
It supports risk-aware capital allocation, partial exits, configurable stop loss and take profit levels, and a scalable equity-compounding model.
✅ Why did I choose OTHERS.D and MEME.D as reference indices?
I selected OTHERS.D and MEME.D because they offer a sector-focused view of crypto market dynamics, especially relevant when trading altcoins and memecoins.
🔹 OTHERS.D tracks the market dominance of all cryptocurrencies outside the top 10 by market cap.
This excludes not only BTC and ETH, but also major stablecoins like USDT and USDC, making it a cleaner indicator of risk appetite across true altcoins.
🔹 This is particularly useful for detecting "Altcoin Season"—periods where capital rotates away from Bitcoin and flows into smaller-cap coins.
A rising OTHERS.D often signals the start of broader altcoin rallies.
🔹 MEME.D, on the other hand, captures the speculative behavior of memecoin segments, which are often driven by retail hype and social media activity.
It's perfect for timing momentum shifts in high-risk, high-reward tokens.
By using these indices, the strategy aligns entries with broader sector trends, filtering out noise and increasing the probability of catching true directional moves, especially in phases of capital rotation and altcoin risk-on behavior.
📐 How It Works — Core Logic and Execution Model
At its heart, this strategy employs dual EMA crossover detection—one pair for the asset being traded and one pair for the selected market index.
A trade is only executed when both EMA crossovers agree on the direction. For example:
Long Entry: Coin's fast EMA > slow EMA and Index's fast EMA > slow EMA
Short Entry: Coin's fast EMA < slow EMA and Index's fast EMA < slow EMA
You can disable the index filter and trade solely based on the asset’s trend just to make a comparison and see if improves a classic EMA crossover strategy.
Additionally, the strategy includes:
- Adaptive position sizing, based on fixed capital or current equity (compound mode)
- Take Profit and Stop Loss in percentage terms
- Smart partial exits when trend momentum fades
- Date filtering for precise backtesting over specific timeframes
- Real-time performance stats, equity tracking, and visual cues on chart
⚙️ Parameters & Customization
🔁 EMA Settings
Each EMA pair is customizable:
Coin Fast EMA: Default = 47
Coin Slow EMA: Default = 50
Index Fast EMA: Default = 47
Index Slow EMA: Default = 50
These control the sensitivity of the trend detection. A wider spread gives smoother, slower entries; a narrower spread makes it more responsive.
🧭 Index Reference
The correlation mechanism uses CryptoCap sector dominance indexes:
OTHERS.D: Dominance of all coins EXCLUDING Top 10 ones
MEME.D: Dominance of all Meme coins
These are dynamically calculated using:
OTHERS_D = OTHERS_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
MEME_D = MEME_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
You can select:
Reference Index: OTHERS.D or MEME.D
Or disable the index reference completely (Don't Use Index Reference)
💰 Position Sizing & Risk Management
Two capital allocation models are supported:
- Fixed % of initial capital (default)
- Compound profits, which scales positions as equity grows
Settings:
- Compound profits?: true/false
- % of equity: Between 1% and 200% (default = 10%)
This is critical for users who want to balance growth with risk.
🎯 Take Profit / Stop Loss
Customizable thresholds determine automatic exits:
- TakeProfit: Default = 99999 (disabled)
- StopLoss: Default = 5 (%)
These exits are percentage-based and operate off the entry price vs. current close.
📉 Trend Weakening Exit (Scale Out)
If the position is in profit but the trend weakens (e.g., EMA color signals trend loss), the strategy can partially close a configurable portion of the position:
- Scale Position on Weak Trend?: true/false
- Scaled Percentage: % to close (default = 65%)
This feature is useful for preserving profits without exiting completely.
📆 Date Filter
Useful for segmenting performance over specific timeframes (e.g., bull vs bear markets):
- Filter Date Range of Backtest: ON/OFF
- Start Date and End Date: Custom time range
OTHER PARAMETERS EXPLANATION (Strategy "Properties" Tab):
- Initial Capital is set to 100 USD
- Commission is set to 0.055% (The ones I have on Bybit)
- Slippage is set to 3 ticks
- Margin (short and long) are set to 0.001% to avoid "overspending" your initial capital allocation
📊 Visual Feedback and Debug Tools
📈 EMA Trend Visualization
The slow EMA line is dynamically color-coded to visually display the alignment between the asset trend and the index trend:
Lime: Coin and index both bullish
Teal: Only coin bullish
Maroon: Only index bullish
Red: Both bearish
This allows for immediate visual confirmation of current trend strength.
💬 Real-Time PnL Labels
When a trade closes, a label shows:
Previous trade return in % (first value is the effective PL)
Green background for profit, Red for losses.
📑 Summary Table Overlay
This table appears in a corner of the chart (user-defined) and shows live performance data including:
Trade direction (yellow long, purple short)
Emojis: 💚 for current profit, 😡 for current loss
Total number of trades
Win rate
Max drawdown
Duration in days
Current trade profit/loss (absolute and %)
Cumulative PnL (absolute and %)
APR (Annualized Percentage Return)
Each metric is color-coded:
Green for strong results
Yellow/orange for average
Red/maroon for poor performance
You can select where this appears:
Top Left
Top Right
Bottom Left
Bottom Right (default)
📚 Interpretation of Key Metrics
Equity Multiplier: How many times initial capital has grown (e.g., “1.75x”)
Net Profit: Total gains including open positions
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-valley drop in strategy equity
APR: Annualized return calculated based on equity growth and days elapsed
Win Rate: % of profitable trades
PnL %: Percentage profit on the most recent trade
🧠 Advanced Logic & Safety Features
🛑 “Don’t Re-Enter” Filter
If a trade is closed due to StopLoss without a confirmed reversal, the strategy avoids re-entering in that same direction until conditions improve. This prevents false reversals and repetitive losses in sideways markets.
🧷 Equity Protection
No new trades are initiated if equity falls below initial_capital / 30. This avoids overleveraging or continuing to trade when capital preservation is critical.
Keep in mind that past results in no way guarantee future performance.
Eddie Bitcoin
FlowStateTrader FlowState Trader - Advanced Time-Filtered Strategy
## Overview
FlowState Trader is a sophisticated algorithmic trading strategy that combines precision entry signals with intelligent time-based filtering and adaptive risk management. Built for traders seeking to achieve their optimal performance state, FlowState identifies high-probability trading opportunities within user-defined time windows while employing dynamic trailing stops and partial position management.
## Core Strategy Philosophy
FlowState Trader operates on the principle that peak trading performance occurs when three elements align: **Focus** (precise entry signals), **Flow** (optimal time windows), and **State** (intelligent position management). This strategy excels at finding reversal opportunities at key support and resistance levels while filtering out suboptimal trading periods to keep traders in their optimal flow state.
## Key Features
### 🎯 Focus Entry System
**Support/Resistance Zone Trading**:
- Dynamic identification of key price levels using configurable lookback periods
- Entry signals triggered when price interacts with these critical zones
- Volume confirmation ensures genuine breakout/reversal momentum
- Trend filter alignment prevents counter-trend disasters
**Entry Conditions**:
- **Long Signals**: Price closes above support buffer, touches support level, with above-average volume
- **Short Signals**: Price closes below resistance buffer, touches resistance level, with above-average volume
- Optional trend filter using EMA or SMA for directional bias confirmation
### ⏰ FlowState Time Filtering System
**Comprehensive Time Controls**:
- **12-Hour Format Trading Windows**: User-friendly AM/PM time selection
- **Multi-Timezone Support**: UTC, EST, PST, CST with automatic conversion
- **Day-of-Week Filtering**: Trade only weekdays, weekends, or both
- **Lunch Hour Avoidance**: Automatically skips low-volume lunch periods (12-1 PM)
- **Visual Time Indicators**: Background coloring shows active/inactive trading periods
**Smart Time Features**:
- Handles overnight trading sessions seamlessly
- Prevents trades during historically poor performance periods
- Customizable trading hours for different market sessions
- Real-time trading window status in dashboard
### 🛡️ Adaptive Risk Management
**Multi-Level Take Profit System**:
- **TP1**: First profit target with optional partial position closure
- **TP2**: Final profit target for remaining position
- **Flexible Scaling**: Choose number of contracts to close at each level
**Dynamic Trailing Stop Technology**:
- **Three Operating Modes**:
- **Conservative**: Earlier activation, tighter trailing (protect profits)
- **Balanced**: Optimal risk/reward balance (recommended)
- **Aggressive**: Later activation, wider trailing (let winners run)
- **ATR-Based Calculations**: Adapts to current market volatility
- **Automatic Activation**: Engages when position reaches profitability threshold
### 📊 Intelligent Position Sizing
**Contract-Based Management**:
- Configurable entry quantity (1-1000 contracts)
- Partial close quantities for profit-taking
- Clear position tracking and P&L monitoring
- Real-time position status updates
### 🎨 Professional Visualization
**Enhanced Chart Elements**:
- **Entry Zone Highlighting**: Clear visual identification of trading opportunities
- **Dynamic Risk/Reward Lines**: Real-time TP and SL levels with price labels
- **Trailing Stop Visualization**: Live tracking of adaptive stop levels
- **Support/Resistance Lines**: Key level identification
- **Time Window Background**: Visual confirmation of active trading periods
**Dual Dashboard System**:
- **Strategy Dashboard**: Real-time position info, settings status, and current levels
- **Performance Scorecard**: Live P&L tracking, win rates, and trade statistics
- **Customizable Sizing**: Small, Medium, or Large display options
### ⚙️ Comprehensive Customization
**Core Strategy Settings**:
- **Lookback Period**: Support/resistance calculation period (5-100 bars)
- **ATR Configuration**: Period and multipliers for stops/targets
- **Reward-to-Risk Ratios**: Customizable profit target calculations
- **Trend Filter Options**: EMA/SMA selection with adjustable periods
**Time Filter Controls**:
- **Trading Hours**: Start/end times in 12-hour format
- **Timezone Selection**: Four major timezone options
- **Day Restrictions**: Weekend-only, weekday-only, or unrestricted
- **Session Management**: Lunch hour avoidance and custom periods
**Risk Management Options**:
- **Trailing Stop Modes**: Conservative/Balanced/Aggressive presets
- **Partial Close Settings**: Enable/disable with custom quantities
- **Alert System**: Comprehensive notifications for all trade events
### 📈 Performance Tracking
**Real-Time Metrics**:
- Net profit/loss calculation
- Win rate percentage
- Profit factor analysis
- Maximum drawdown tracking
- Total trade count and breakdown
- Current position P&L
**Trade Analytics**:
- Winner/loser ratio tracking
- Real-time performance scorecard
- Strategy effectiveness monitoring
- Risk-adjusted return metrics
### 🔔 Alert System
**Comprehensive Notifications**:
- Entry signal alerts with price and quantity
- Take profit level hits (TP1 and TP2)
- Stop loss activations
- Trailing stop engagements
- Position closure notifications
## Strategy Logic Deep Dive
### Entry Signal Generation
The strategy identifies high-probability reversal points by combining multiple confirmation factors:
1. **Price Action**: Looks for price interaction with key support/resistance levels
2. **Volume Confirmation**: Ensures sufficient market interest and liquidity
3. **Trend Alignment**: Optional filter prevents counter-trend positions
4. **Time Validation**: Only trades during user-defined optimal periods
5. **Zone Analysis**: Entry occurs within calculated buffer zones around key levels
### Risk Management Philosophy
FlowState Trader employs a three-tier risk management approach:
1. **Initial Protection**: ATR-based stop losses set at strategy entry
2. **Profit Preservation**: Trailing stops activate once position becomes profitable
3. **Scaled Exit**: Partial profit-taking allows for both security and potential
### Time-Based Edge
The time filtering system recognizes that not all trading hours are equal:
- Avoids low-volume, high-spread periods
- Focuses on optimal liquidity windows
- Prevents trading during news events (lunch hours)
- Allows customization for different market sessions
## Best Practices and Optimization
### Recommended Settings
**For Scalping (1-5 minute charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 10-20
- ATR Period: 14
- Trailing Stop: Conservative mode
- Time Filter: Major session hours only
**For Day Trading (15-60 minute charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 20-30
- ATR Period: 14-21
- Trailing Stop: Balanced mode
- Time Filter: Extended trading hours
**For Swing Trading (4H+ charts)**:
- Lookback Period: 30-50
- ATR Period: 21+
- Trailing Stop: Aggressive mode
- Time Filter: Disabled or very broad
### Market Compatibility
- **Forex**: Excellent for major pairs during active sessions
- **Stocks**: Ideal for liquid stocks during market hours
- **Futures**: Perfect for index and commodity futures
- **Crypto**: Effective on major cryptocurrencies (24/7 capability)
### Risk Considerations
- **Market Conditions**: Performance varies with volatility regimes
- **Timeframe Selection**: Lower timeframes require tighter risk management
- **Position Sizing**: Never risk more than 1-2% of account per trade
- **Backtesting**: Always test on historical data before live implementation
## Educational Value
FlowState serves as an excellent learning tool for:
- Understanding support/resistance trading
- Learning proper time-based filtering
- Mastering trailing stop techniques
- Developing systematic trading approaches
- Risk management best practices
## Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Users should thoroughly backtest the strategy and understand all risks before live trading. Always use proper position sizing and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
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*FlowState Trader represents the evolution of systematic trading - combining classical technical analysis with modern risk management and intelligent time filtering to help traders achieve their optimal performance state through systematic, disciplined execution.*
VoVix DEVMA🌌 VoVix DEVMA: A Deep Dive into Second-Order Volatility Dynamics
Welcome to VoVix+, a sophisticated trading framework that transcends traditional price analysis. This is not merely another indicator; it is a complete system designed to dissect and interpret the very fabric of market volatility. VoVix+ operates on the principle that the most powerful signals are not found in price alone, but in the behavior of volatility itself. It analyzes the rate of change, the momentum, and the structure of market volatility to identify periods of expansion and contraction, providing a unique edge in anticipating major market moves.
This document will serve as your comprehensive guide, breaking down every mathematical component, every user input, and every visual element to empower you with a profound understanding of how to harness its capabilities.
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: THE MATHEMATICS OF MARKET DYNAMICS
VoVix+ is built upon a multi-layered mathematical engine designed to measure what we call "second-order volatility." While standard indicators analyze price, and first-order volatility indicators (like ATR) analyze the range of price, VoVix+ analyzes the dynamics of the volatility itself. This provides insight into the market's underlying state of stability or chaos.
1. The VoVix Score: Measuring Volatility Thrust
The core of the system begins with the VoVix Score. This is a normalized measure of volatility acceleration or deceleration.
Mathematical Formula:
VoVix Score = (ATR(fast) - ATR(slow)) / (StDev(ATR(fast)) + ε)
Where:
ATR(fast) is the Average True Range over a short period, representing current, immediate volatility.
ATR(slow) is the Average True Range over a longer period, representing the baseline or established volatility.
StDev(ATR(fast)) is the Standard Deviation of the fast ATR, which measures the "noisiness" or consistency of recent volatility.
ε (epsilon) is a very small number to prevent division by zero.
Market Implementation:
Positive Score (Expansion): When the fast ATR is significantly higher than the slow ATR, it indicates a rapid increase in volatility. The market is "stretching" or expanding.
Negative Score (Contraction): When the fast ATR falls below the slow ATR, it indicates a decrease in volatility. The market is "coiling" or contracting.
Normalization: By dividing by the standard deviation, we normalize the score. This turns it into a standardized measure, allowing us to compare volatility thrust across different market conditions and timeframes. A score of 2.0 in a quiet market means the same, relatively, as a score of 2.0 in a volatile market.
2. Deviation Analysis (DEV): Gauging Volatility's Own Volatility
The script then takes the analysis a step further. It calculates the standard deviation of the VoVix Score itself.
Mathematical Formula:
DEV = StDev(VoVix Score, lookback_period)
Market Implementation:
This DEV value represents the magnitude of chaos or stability in the market's volatility dynamics. A high DEV value means the volatility thrust is erratic and unpredictable. A low DEV value suggests the change in volatility is smooth and directional.
3. The DEVMA Crossover: Identifying Regime Shifts
This is the primary signal generator. We take two moving averages of the DEV value.
Mathematical Formula:
fastDEVMA = SMA(DEV, fast_period)
slowDEVMA = SMA(DEV, slow_period)
The Core Signal:
The strategy triggers on the crossover and crossunder of these two DEVMA lines. This is a profound concept: we are not looking at a moving average of price or even of volatility, but a moving average of the standard deviation of the normalized rate of change of volatility.
Bullish Crossover (fastDEVMA > slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is increasing relative to the long-term measure. This often precedes a significant market expansion and is interpreted as a bullish volatility regime.
Bearish Crossunder (fastDEVMA < slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is decreasing. The market is settling down or contracting, often leading to trending moves or range consolidation.
⚙️ INPUTS MENU: CONFIGURING YOUR ANALYSIS ENGINE
Every input has been meticulously designed to give you full control over the strategy's behavior. Understanding these settings is key to adapting VoVix+ to your specific instrument, timeframe, and trading style.
🌀 VoVix DEVMA Configuration
🧬 Deviation Lookback: This sets the lookback period for calculating the DEV value. It defines the window for measuring the stability of the VoVix Score. A shorter value makes the system highly reactive to recent changes in volatility's character, ideal for scalping. A longer value provides a smoother, more stable reading, better for identifying major, long-term regime shifts.
⚡ Fast VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the fastDEVMA. It represents the short-term trend of volatility's chaos. A smaller number will result in a faster, more sensitive signal line that reacts quickly to market shifts.
🐌 Slow VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the slowDEVMA. It represents the long-term, baseline trend of volatility's chaos. A larger number creates a more stable, slower-moving anchor against which the fast line is compared.
How to Optimize: The relationship between the Fast and Slow lengths is crucial. A wider gap (e.g., 20 and 60) will result in fewer, but potentially more significant, signals. A narrower gap (e.g., 25 and 40) will generate more frequent signals, suitable for more active trading styles.
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence
🧠 Enable Adaptive Features: When enabled, this activates the strategy's performance tracking module. The script will analyze the outcome of its last 50 trades to calculate a dynamic win rate.
⏰ Adaptive Time-Based Exit: If Enable Adaptive Features is on, this allows the strategy to adjust its Maximum Bars in Trade setting based on performance. It learns from the average duration of winning trades. If winning trades tend to be short, it may shorten the time exit to lock in profits. If winners tend to run, it will extend the time exit, allowing trades more room to develop. This helps prevent the strategy from cutting winning trades short or holding losing trades for too long.
⚡ Intelligent Execution
📊 Trade Quantity: A straightforward input that defines the number of contracts or shares for each trade. This is a fixed value for consistent position sizing.
🛡️ Smart Stop Loss: Enables the dynamic stop-loss mechanism.
🎯 Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: Determines the distance of the stop loss from the entry price, calculated as a multiple of the current 14-period ATR. A higher multiplier gives the trade more room to breathe but increases risk per trade. A lower multiplier creates a tighter stop, reducing risk but increasing the chance of being stopped out by normal market noise.
💰 Take Profit ATR Multiplier: Sets the take profit target, also as a multiple of the ATR. A common practice is to set this higher than the Stop Loss multiplier (e.g., a 2:1 or 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
🏃 Use Trailing Stop: This is a powerful feature for trend-following. When enabled, instead of a fixed stop loss, the stop will trail behind the price as the trade moves into profit, helping to lock in gains while letting winners run.
🎯 Trail Points & 📏 Trail Offset ATR Multipliers: These control the trailing stop's behavior. Trail Points defines how much profit is needed before the trail activates. Trail Offset defines how far the stop will trail behind the current price. Both are based on ATR, making them fully adaptive to market volatility.
⏰ Maximum Bars in Trade: This is a time-based stop. It forces an exit if a trade has been open for a specified number of bars, preventing positions from being held indefinitely in stagnant markets.
⏰ Session Management
These inputs allow you to confine the strategy's trading activity to specific market hours, which is crucial for day trading instruments that have defined high-volume sessions (e.g., stock market open).
🎨 Visual Effects & Dashboard
These toggles give you complete control over the on-chart visuals and the dashboard. You can disable any element to declutter your chart or focus only on the information that matters most to you.
📊 THE DASHBOARD: YOUR AT-A-GLANCE COMMAND CENTER
The dashboard centralizes all critical information into one compact, easy-to-read panel. It provides a real-time summary of the market state and strategy performance.
🎯 VOVIX ANALYSIS
Fast & Slow: Displays the current numerical values of the fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA. The color indicates their direction: green for rising, red for falling. This lets you see the underlying momentum of each line.
Regime: This is your most important environmental cue. It tells you the market's current state based on the DEVMA relationship. 🚀 EXPANSION (Green) signifies a bullish volatility regime where explosive moves are more likely. ⚛️ CONTRACTION (Purple) signifies a bearish volatility regime, where the market may be consolidating or entering a smoother trend.
Quality: Measures the strength of the last signal based on the magnitude of the DEVMA difference. An ELITE or STRONG signal indicates a high-conviction setup where the crossover had significant force.
PERFORMANCE
Win Rate & Trades: Displays the historical win rate of the strategy from the backtest, along with the total number of closed trades. This provides immediate feedback on the strategy's historical effectiveness on the current chart.
EXECUTION
Trade Qty: Shows your configured position size per trade.
Session: Indicates whether trading is currently OPEN (allowed) or CLOSED based on your session management settings.
POSITION
Position & PnL: Displays your current position (LONG, SHORT, or FLAT) and the real-time Profit or Loss of the open trade.
🧠 ADAPTIVE STATUS
Stop/Profit Mult: In this simplified version, these are placeholders. The primary adaptive feature currently modifies the time-based exit, which is reflected in how long trades are held on the chart.
🎨 THE VISUAL UNIVERSE: DECIPHERING MARKET GEOMETRY
The visuals are not mere decorations; they are geometric representations of the underlying mathematical concepts, designed to give you an intuitive feel for the market's state.
The Core Lines:
FastDEVMA (Green/Maroon Line): The primary signal line. Green when rising, indicating an increase in short-term volatility chaos. Maroon when falling.
SlowDEVMA (Aqua/Orange Line): The baseline. Aqua when rising, indicating a long-term increase in volatility chaos. Orange when falling.
🌊 Morphism Flow (Flowing Lines with Circles):
What it represents: This visualizes the momentum and strength of the fastDEVMA. The width and intensity of the "beam" are proportional to the signal strength.
Interpretation: A thick, steep, and vibrant flow indicates powerful, committed momentum in the current volatility regime. The floating '●' particles represent kinetic energy; more particles suggest stronger underlying force.
📐 Homotopy Paths (Layered Transparent Boxes):
What it represents: These layered boxes are centered between the two DEVMA lines. Their height is determined by the DEV value.
Interpretation: This visualizes the overall "volatility of volatility." Wider boxes indicate a chaotic, unpredictable market. Narrower boxes suggest a more stable, predictable environment.
🧠 Consciousness Field (The Grid):
What it represents: This grid provides a historical lookback at the DEV range.
Interpretation: It maps the recent "consciousness" or character of the market's volatility. A consistently wide grid suggests a prolonged period of chaos, while a narrowing grid can signal a transition to a more stable state.
📏 Functorial Levels (Projected Horizontal Lines):
What it represents: These lines extend from the current fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA values into the future.
Interpretation: Think of these as dynamic support and resistance levels for the volatility structure itself. A crossover becomes more significant if it breaks cleanly through a prior established level.
🌊 Flow Boxes (Spaced Out Boxes):
What it represents: These are compact visual footprints of the current regime, colored green for Expansion and red for Contraction.
Interpretation: They provide a quick, at-a-glance confirmation of the dominant volatility flow, reinforcing the background color.
Background Color:
This provides an immediate, unmistakable indication of the current volatility regime. Light Green for Expansion and Light Aqua/Blue for Contraction, allowing you to assess the market environment in a split second.
📊 BACKTESTING PERFORMANCE REVIEW & ANALYSIS
The following is a factual, transparent review of a backtest conducted using the strategy's default settings on a specific instrument and timeframe. This information is presented for educational purposes to demonstrate how the strategy's mechanics performed over a historical period. It is crucial to understand that these results are historical, apply only to the specific conditions of this test, and are not a guarantee or promise of future performance. Market conditions are dynamic and constantly change.
Test Parameters & Conditions
To ensure the backtest reflects a degree of real-world conditions, the following parameters were used. The goal is to provide a transparent baseline, not an over-optimized or unrealistic scenario.
Instrument: CME E-mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 5-Minute Chart
Backtesting Range: March 24, 2024, to July 09, 2024
Initial Capital: $100,000
Commission: $0.62 per contract (A realistic cost for futures trading).
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade (A conservative setting to account for potential price discrepancies between order placement and execution).
Trade Size: 1 contract per trade.
Performance Overview (Historical Data)
The test period generated 465 total trades , providing a statistically significant sample size for analysis, which is well above the recommended minimum of 100 trades for a strategy evaluation.
Profit Factor: The historical Profit Factor was 2.663 . This metric represents the gross profit divided by the gross loss. In this test, it indicates that for every dollar lost, $2.663 was gained.
Percent Profitable: Across all 465 trades, the strategy had a historical win rate of 84.09% . While a high figure, this is a historical artifact of this specific data set and settings, and should not be the sole basis for future expectations.
Risk & Trade Characteristics
Beyond the headline numbers, the following metrics provide deeper insight into the strategy's historical behavior.
Sortino Ratio (Downside Risk): The Sortino Ratio was 6.828 . Unlike the Sharpe Ratio, this metric only measures the volatility of negative returns. A higher value, such as this one, suggests that during this test period, the strategy was highly efficient at managing downside volatility and large losing trades relative to the profits it generated.
Average Trade Duration: A critical characteristic to understand is the strategy's holding period. With an average of only 2 bars per trade , this configuration operates as a very short-term, or scalping-style, system. Winning trades averaged 2 bars, while losing trades averaged 4 bars. This indicates the strategy's logic is designed to capture quick, high-probability moves and exit rapidly, either at a profit target or a stop loss.
Conclusion and Final Disclaimer
This backtest demonstrates one specific application of the VoVix+ framework. It highlights the strategy's behavior as a short-term system that, in this historical test on NQ1!, exhibited a high win rate and effective management of downside risk. Users are strongly encouraged to conduct their own backtests on different instruments, timeframes, and date ranges to understand how the strategy adapts to varying market structures. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all trading involves significant risk.
🔧 THE DEVELOPMENT PHILOSOPHY: FROM VOLATILITY TO CLARITY
The journey to create VoVix+ began with a simple question: "What drives major market moves?" The answer is often not a change in price direction, but a fundamental shift in market volatility. Standard indicators are reactive to price. We wanted to create a system that was predictive of market state. VoVix+ was designed to go one level deeper—to analyze the behavior, character, and momentum of volatility itself.
The challenge was twofold. First, to create a robust mathematical model to quantify these abstract concepts. This led to the multi-layered analysis of ATR differentials and standard deviations. Second, to make this complex data intuitive and actionable. This drove the creation of the "Visual Universe," where abstract mathematical values are translated into geometric shapes, flows, and fields. The adaptive system was intentionally kept simple and transparent, focusing on a single, impactful parameter (time-based exits) to provide performance feedback without becoming an inscrutable "black box." The result is a tool that is both profoundly deep in its analysis and remarkably clear in its presentation.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER AND BEST PRACTICES
VoVix+ is an advanced analytical tool, not a guarantee of future profits. All financial markets carry inherent risk. The backtesting results shown by the strategy are historical and do not guarantee future performance. This strategy incorporates realistic commission and slippage settings by default, but market conditions can vary. Always practice sound risk management, use position sizes appropriate for your account equity, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. It is recommended to use this strategy as part of a comprehensive trading plan. This was developed specifically for Futures
"The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite view. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis."
— George Soros
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master
Introducing the Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master , a strategy that’s your secret weapon for mastering futures markets like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. Born from the legendary Aurora Divergence indicator, this fully automated system transforms raw divergence signals into a quant-grade trading machine, blending precision, risk management, and cyberpunk DAFE visuals that make your charts glow like a neon skyline. Crafted with care and driven by community passion, this strategy stands out in a sea of generic scripts, offering traders a unique edge to outsmart institutional traps and navigate volatile markets.
The Aurora Divergence indicator was a cult favorite for spotting price-OBV divergences with its aqua and fuchsia orbs, but traders craved a system to act on those signals with discipline and automation. This strategy delivers, layering advanced filters (z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, session), dynamic risk controls (kill switches, adaptive stops/TPs), and a real-time dashboard to turn insights into profits. Whether you’re a newbie dipping into futures or a pro hunting reversals, this strat’s got your back with a beginner guide, alerts, and visuals that make trading feel like a sci-fi mission. Let’s dive into every detail and see why this original DAFE creation is a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a battlefield—fast-paced, volatile, and riddled with institutional games that can wipe out undisciplined traders. From the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop to sneaky ES slippage, the stakes are high. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with unoriginal, low-effort scripts that promise the moon but deliver noise. The Aurora Divergence – Quant Master rises above, offering:
Unmatched Originality: A bespoke system built from the ground up, with custom divergence logic, DAFE visuals, and quant filters that set it apart from copycat clutter.
Automation with Precision: Executes trades on divergence signals, eliminating emotional slip-ups and ensuring consistency, even in chaotic sessions.
Quant-Grade Filters: Z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, and session checks filter out noise, targeting high-probability reversals.
Robust Risk Management: Daily loss and rolling drawdown kill switches, plus ATR-based stops/TPs, protect your capital like a fortress.
Stunning DAFE Visuals: Aqua/fuchsia orbs, aurora bands, and a glowing dashboard make signals intuitive and charts a work of art.
Community-Driven: Evolved from trader feedback, this strat’s a labor of love, not a recycled knockoff.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, original system that blends accessibility, sophistication, and style. It’s your edge to trade smarter, not harder, in a market full of traps and imitators.
1. Divergence Detection (Core Signal Logic)
The strategy’s core is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences between price and On-Balance Volume (OBV), pinpointing reversals with surgical accuracy.
How It Works:
Price Slope: Uses linear regression over a lookback (default: 9 bars) to measure price momentum (priceSlope).
OBV Slope: OBV tracks volume flow (+volume if price rises, -volume if falls), with its slope calculated similarly (obvSlope).
Bullish Divergence: Price slope negative (falling), OBV slope positive (rising), and price above 50-bar SMA (trend_ma).
Bearish Divergence: Price slope positive (rising), OBV slope negative (falling), and price below 50-bar SMA.
Smoothing: Requires two consecutive divergence bars (bullDiv2, bearDiv2) to confirm signals, reducing false positives.
Strength: Divergence intensity (divStrength = |priceSlope * obvSlope| * sensitivity) is normalized (0–1, divStrengthNorm) for visuals.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Divergences catch hidden momentum shifts, often exploited by institutions, giving you an edge on reversals.
- The 50-bar SMA filter aligns signals with the broader trend, avoiding choppy markets.
- Adjustable lookback (min: 3) and sensitivity (default: 1.0) let you tune for different instruments or timeframes.
2. Filters for Precision
Four advanced filters ensure signals are high-probability and market-aligned, cutting through the noise of volatile futures.
Z-Score Filter:
Logic: Calculates z-score ((close - SMA) / stdev) over a lookback (default: 50 bars). Blocks entries if |z-score| > threshold (default: 1.5) unless disabled (useZFilter = false).
Impact: Avoids trades during extreme price moves (e.g., blow-off tops), keeping you in statistically safe zones.
ATR Percentile Volatility Filter:
Logic: Tracks 14-bar ATR in a 100-bar window (default). Requires current ATR > 80th percentile (percATR) to trade (tradeOk).
Impact: Ensures sufficient volatility for meaningful moves, filtering out low-volume chop.
Multi-Timeframe (HTF) Trend Filter:
Logic: Uses a 50-bar SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 60min). Longs require price > HTF MA (bullTrendOK), shorts < HTF MA (bearTrendOK).
Impact: Aligns trades with the bigger trend, reducing counter-trend losses.
US Session Filter:
Logic: Restricts trading to 9:30am–4:00pm ET (default: enabled, useSession = true) using America/New_York timezone.
Impact: Focuses on high-liquidity hours, avoiding overnight spreads and erratic moves.
Evolution:
- These filters create a robust signal pipeline, ensuring trades are timed for optimal conditions.
- Customizable inputs (e.g., zThreshold, atrPercentile) let traders adapt to their style without compromising quality.
3. Risk Management
The strategy’s risk controls are a masterclass in balancing aggression and safety, protecting capital in volatile markets.
Daily Loss Kill Switch:
Logic: Tracks daily loss (dayStartEquity - strategy.equity). Halts trading if loss ≥ $300 (default) and enabled (killSwitch = true, killSwitchActive).
Impact: Caps daily downside, crucial during events like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
Rolling Drawdown Kill Switch:
Logic: Monitors drawdown (rollingPeak - strategy.equity) over 100 bars (default). Stops trading if > $1000 (rollingKill).
Impact: Prevents prolonged losing streaks, preserving capital for better setups.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * multiplier (default: 1.0x, stopDist). TPs = entry ± ATR * 1.5x (profitDist). Longs: stop below, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Adapts to volatility, keeping stops tight but realistic, with TPs targeting 1.5:1 reward/risk.
Max Bars in Trade:
Logic: Closes trades after 8 bars (default) if not already exited.
Impact: Frees capital from stagnant trades, maintaining efficiency.
Kill Switch Buffer Dashboard:
Logic: Shows smallest buffer ($300 - daily loss or $1000 - rolling DD). Displays 0 (red) if kill switch active, else buffer (green).
Impact: Real-time risk visibility, letting traders adjust dynamically.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Kill switches and ATR-based exits create a safety net, rare in generic scripts.
- Customizable risk inputs (maxDailyLoss, dynamicStopMult) suit different account sizes.
- Buffer metric empowers disciplined trading, a DAFE signature.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are precise, filtered, and adaptive, ensuring trades are deliberate and profitable.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: bullDiv2, cooldown passed (canSignal), ATR filter passed (tradeOk), in US session (inSession), no kill switches (not killSwitchActive, not rollingKill), z-score OK (zOk), HTF trend bullish (bullTrendOK), no existing long (lastDirection != 1, position_size <= 0). Closes shorts first.
Short Entry: Same, but for bearDiv2, bearTrendOK, no long (lastDirection != -1, position_size >= 0). Closes longs first.
Adaptive Cooldown: Default 2 bars (cooldownBars). Doubles (up to 10) after a losing trade, resets after wins (dynamicCooldown).
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Set per trade (ATR-based). Exits on stop/TP hits.
Other Exits: Closes if maxBarsInTrade reached, ATR filter fails, or kill switch activates.
Position Management: Ensures no conflicting positions, closing opposites before new entries.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Multi-filtered entries minimize false signals, a stark contrast to basic scripts.
- Adaptive cooldown prevents overtrading, especially after losses.
- Clean position handling ensures smooth execution, even in fast markets.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are a DAFE hallmark, blending function with clean flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Aurora Bands:
Display: Bands around price during divergences (bullish: below low, bearish: above high), sized by ATR * bandwidth (default: 0.5).
Colors: Aqua (bullish), fuchsia (bearish), with transparency tied to divStrengthNorm.
Purpose: Highlights divergence zones with a glowing, futuristic vibe.
Divergence Orbs:
Display: Large/small circles (aqua below for bullish, fuchsia above for bearish) when bullDiv2/bearDiv2 and canSignal. Labels show strength (0–1).
Purpose: Pinpoints entries with eye-catching clarity.
Gradient Background:
Display: Green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral), 90–95% transparent.
Purpose: Sets the market mood without clutter.
Strategy Plots:
- Stop/TP Lines: Red (stops), green (TPs) for active trades.
- HTF MA: Yellow line for trend context.
- Z-Score: Blue step-line (if enabled).
- Kill Switch Warning: Red background flash when active.
What Makes This Next-Level?:
- Visuals make complex signals (divergences, filters) instantly clear, even for beginners.
- DAFE’s unique aesthetic (orbs, bands) sets it apart from generic scripts, reinforcing originality.
- Functional plots (stops, TPs) enhance trade management.
6. Metrics Dashboard
The top-right dashboard (2x8 table) is your command center, delivering real-time insights.
Metrics:
Daily Loss ($): Current loss vs. day’s start, red if > $300.
Rolling DD ($): Drawdown vs. 100-bar peak, red if > $1000.
ATR Threshold: Current percATR, green if ATR exceeds, red if not.
Z-Score: Current value, green if within threshold, red if not.
Signal: “Bullish Div” (aqua), “Bearish Div” (fuchsia), or “None” (gray).
Action: “Consider Buying”/“Consider Selling” (signal color) or “Wait” (gray).
Kill Switch Buffer ($): Smallest buffer to kill switch, green if > 0, red if 0.
Why This Is Important?:
- Consolidates critical data, making decisions effortless.
- Color-coded metrics guide beginners (e.g., green action = go).
- Buffer metric adds transparency, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
7. Beginner Guide
Beginner Guide: Middle-right table (shown once on chart load), explains aqua orbs (bullish, buy) and fuchsia orbs (bearish, sell).
Key Features:
Futures-Optimized: Tailored for MNQ, NQ, MES, ES with point-value adjustments.
Highly Customizable: Inputs for lookback, sensitivity, filters, and risk settings.
Real-Time Insights: Dashboard and visuals update every bar.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
User-Friendly: Guide, visuals, and dashboard make it accessible yet powerful.
Original Design: DAFE’s unique logic and visuals stand out from generic scripts.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Adjust instrument, filters, or risk (defaults optimized for MNQ).
Monitor Dashboard: Watch signals, actions, and risk metrics (top-right).
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to evaluate performance.
Live Trade: Connect to a broker (e.g., Tradovate) for automation. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Use bar replay (e.g., April 28, 2025 NQ drop) to test volatility handling.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtest results may not reflect live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master isn’t just a strategy—it’s a movement. Crafted with originality and driven by community passion, it rises above the flood of generic scripts to deliver a system that’s as powerful as it is beautiful. With its quant-grade logic, DAFE visuals, and robust risk controls, it empowers traders to tackle futures with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s outsmart the markets together!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
Long Term Profitable Swing | AbbasA Story of a Profitable Swing Trading Strategy
Imagine you're sailing across the ocean, looking for the perfect wave to ride. Swing trading is quite similar—you're navigating the stock market, searching for the ideal moments to enter and exit trades. This strategy, created by Abbas, helps you find those waves and ride them effectively to profitable outcomes.
🌊 Finding the Perfect Wave (Entry)
Our journey begins with two simple signs that tell us a great trading opportunity is forming:
- Moving Averages: We use two lines that follow price trends—the faster one (EMA 16) reacts quickly to recent price moves, and the slower one (EMA 30) gives us a longer-term perspective. When the faster line crosses above the slower line, it's like a clear signal saying, "Hey! The wave is rising, and prices might move higher!"
- RSI Momentum: Next, we check a tool called the RSI, which measures momentum (how strongly prices are moving). If the RSI number is above 50, it means there's enough strength behind this rising wave to carry us forward.
When both signals appear together, that's our green light. It's time to jump on our surfboard and start riding this promising wave.
⚓ Safely Riding the Wave (Risk Management)
While we're riding this wave, we want to ensure we're safe from sudden surprises. To do this, we use something called the Average True Range (ATR), which measures how volatile (or bumpy) the price movements are:
- Stop-Loss: To avoid falling too hard, we set a safety line (stop-loss) 8 times the ATR below our entry price. This helps ensure we exit if the wave suddenly turns against us, protecting us from heavy losses.
- Take Profit: We also set a goal to exit the trade at 11 times the ATR above our entry. This way, we capture significant profits when the wave reaches a nice high point.
🌟 Multiple Rides, Bigger Adventures
This strategy allows us to take multiple positions simultaneously—like riding several waves at once, up to 5. Each trade we make uses only 10% of our trading capital, keeping risks manageable and giving us multiple opportunities to win big.
🗺️ Easy to Follow Settings
Here are the basic settings we use:
- Fast EMA**: 16
- Slow EMA**: 30
- RSI Length**: 9
- RSI Threshold**: 50
- ATR Length**: 21
- ATR Stop-Loss Multiplier**: 8
- ATR Take-Profit Multiplier**: 11
These settings are flexible—you can adjust them to better suit different markets or your personal trading style.
🎉 Riding the Waves of Success
This simple yet powerful swing trading approach helps you confidently enter trades, clearly know when to exit, and effectively manage your risk. It’s a reliable way to ride market waves, capture profits, and minimize losses.
Happy trading, and may you find many profitable waves to ride! 🌊✨
Please test, and take into account that it depends on taking multiple longs within the swing, and you only get to invest 25/30% of your equity.
Trend Zone Moving Averages📈 Trend Zone Moving Averages
The Trend Zone Moving Averages indicator helps traders quickly identify market trends using the 50SMA, 100SMA, and 200SMA. With dynamic background colors, customizable settings, and real-time alerts, this tool provides a clear view of bullish, bearish, and extreme trend conditions.
🔹 Features:
Trend Zones with Dynamic Background Colors
Green → Bullish Trend (50SMA > 100SMA > 200SMA, price above 50SMA)
Red → Bearish Trend (50SMA < 100SMA < 200SMA, price below 50SMA)
Yellow → Neutral Trend (Mixed signals)
Dark Green → Extreme Bullish (Price above all three SMAs)
Dark Red → Extreme Bearish (Price below all three SMAs)
Customizable Moving Averages
Toggle 50SMA, 100SMA, and 200SMA on/off from the settings.
Perfect for traders who prefer a cleaner chart.
Real-Time Trend Alerts
Get instant notifications when the trend changes:
🟢 Bullish Zone Alert – When price enters a bullish trend.
🔴 Bearish Zone Alert – When price enters a bearish trend.
🟡 Neutral Zone Alert – When trend shifts to neutral.
🌟 Extreme Bullish Alert – When price moves above all SMAs.
⚠️ Extreme Bearish Alert – When price drops below all SMAs.
✅ Perfect for Any Market
Works on stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities.
Adaptable for day traders, swing traders, and investors.
⚙️ How to Use: Trend Zone Moving Averages Strategy
This strategy helps traders identify and trade with the trend using the Trend Zone Moving Averages indicator. It works across stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities.
🟢 Bullish Trend Strategy (Green Background)
Objective: Look for buying opportunities when the market is in an uptrend.
Entry Conditions:
✅ Background is Green (Bullish Zone).
✅ Price is above the 50SMA (confirming strength).
✅ Price pulls back to the 50SMA and bounces OR breaks above a key resistance level.
Stop Loss:
🔹 Place below the most recent swing low or just under the 50SMA.
Take Profit:
🔹 First target at the next resistance level or recent swing high.
🔹 Second target if price continues higher—trail stops to lock in profits.
🔴 Bearish Trend Strategy (Red Background)
Objective: Look for shorting opportunities when the market is in a downtrend.
Entry Conditions:
✅ Background is Red (Bearish Zone).
✅ Price is below the 50SMA (confirming weakness).
✅ Price pulls back to the 50SMA and rejects OR breaks below a key support level.
Stop Loss:
🔹 Place above the most recent swing high or just above the 50SMA.
Take Profit:
🔹 First target at the next support level or recent swing low.
🔹 Second target if price keeps falling—trail stops to secure profits.
🌟 Extreme Trend Strategy (Dark Green / Dark Red Background)
Objective: Trade with momentum when the market is in a strong trend.
Entry Conditions:
✅ Dark Green Background → Extreme Bullish: Price is above all three SMAs (strong uptrend).
✅ Dark Red Background → Extreme Bearish: Price is below all three SMAs (strong downtrend).
Trade Execution:
🔹 For longs (Dark Green): Look for breakout entries above resistance or pullbacks to the 50SMA.
🔹 For shorts (Dark Red): Look for breakdown entries below support or rejections at the 50SMA.
Risk Management:
🔹 Use tighter stop losses and trail profits aggressively to maximize gains.
🟡 Neutral Trend Strategy (Yellow Background)
Objective: Avoid trading or wait for a breakout.
What to Do:
🔹 Avoid trading in this zone—price is indecisive.
🔹 Wait for confirmation (background turns green/red) before taking a trade.
🔹 Use alerts to notify you when the trend resumes.
📌 Final Tips
Use this strategy with price action for extra confirmation.
Combine with support/resistance levels to improve accuracy.
Set alerts for trend changes so you never miss an opportunity.
Enjoy!
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Ultimate Stochastics Strategy by NHBprod Use to Day Trade BTCHey All!
Here's a new script I worked on that's super simple but at the same time useful. Check out the backtest results. The backtest results include slippage and fees/commission, and is still quite profitable. Obviously the profitability magnitude depends on how much capital you begin with, and how much the user utilizes per order, but in any event it seems to be profitable according to backtests.
This is different because it allows you full functionality over the stochastics calculations which is designed for random datasets. This script allows you to:
Designate ANY period of time to analyze and study
Choose between Long trading, short trading, and Long & Short trading
It allows you to enter trades based on the stochastics calculations
It allows you to EXIT trades using the stochastics calculations or take profit, or stop loss, Or any combination of those, which is nice because then the user can see how one variable effects the overall performance.
As for the actual stochastics formula, you get control, and get to SEE the plot lines for slow K, slow D, and fast K, which is usually not considered.
You also get the chance to modify the smoothing method, which has not been done with regular stochastics indicators. You get to choose the standard simple moving average (SMA) method, but I also allow you to choose other MA's such as the HMA and WMA.
Lastly, the user gets the option of using a custom trade extender, which essentially allows a buy or sell signal to exist for X amount of candles after the initial signal. For example, you can use "max bars since signal" to 1, and this will allow the indicator to produce an extra sequential buy signal when a buy signal is generated. This can be useful because it is possible that you use a small take profit (TP) and quickly exit a profitable trade. With the max bars since signal variable, you're able to reenter on the next candle and allow for another opportunity.
Let me know if you have any questions! Please take a look at the performance report and let me know your thoughts! :)
Martingale8MARTINGALE8 Indicator: Comprehensive User Guide
Welcome to the MARTINGALE8 Indicator, your ultimate tool for implementing a customizable martingale trading strategy directly on TradingView! Whether you're a beginner trader or an experienced strategist, this indicator offers flexibility and clarity, empowering you to trade with confidence. Let’s dive into how you can make the most of it!
What Is the Martingale Principle?
The martingale strategy is a betting technique often used in gambling and trading. The idea is simple: double down on losing positions so that when a trade eventually succeeds, the profits will recover all previous losses and yield a small profit. In trading, this translates to placing incrementally larger buy orders as the price moves against your initial position, assuming the price will eventually reverse in your favor.
The martingale principle works under the asumption of mean reversion —that the price will eventually recover to a point where all accumulated losses are recouped, and a profit is made. By increasing order sizes at lower levels, the average entry price moves closer to the current price, reducing the price move required to reach profitability. However, like any strategy, it carries risks — if the price continues to move against your position without reversing, losses can escalate quickly .
What Does MARTINGALE8 Do?
The MARTINGALE8 Indicator is an open source script designed to:
Calculate multiple price levels (buy and take-profit) using a martingale strategy.
Allow full customization of entry size, order deviation, profit targets, and order multipliers.
Visualize key trading levels directly on the chart for better decision-making.
Provide helpful labels with real-time metrics like total cost, range analysis, and high-volume bar prices.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to automate and refine their martingale-based trading approaches.
Features
1. Customizable Inputs
You have complete control over key parameters:
Start Price: Set a custom starting price, or let it default to the market price.
Entry Size: Choose your initial trade size (default: equivalent to 7.5 USDT).
Order Multiplier: Adjust the size of each subsequent order in the martingale sequence.
Order Deviation: Define the percentage deviation for each buy level.
Profit Deviation: Determine the target percentage deviation for take-profit levels.
Length: Specify the lookback period for market analysis (default: 84 bars).
2. Market Analysis
The script calculates key metrics, including:
Highest Volume Bar (HVB): Identifies the bar with the highest trading volume in the selected period.
Range Analysis: Computes the high-to-low range percentage to help you understand market volatility.
3. Martingale Levels
Automatically generates :
10 Buy Levels: Strategically placed below the starting price.
Take-Profit Level: A target above the starting price based on the profit deviation.
4. Cost Calculation
The script calculates the total cost of all orders, including a 10% buffer for safety, so you can plan your capital allocation effectively.
5. Visual Elements
The indicator draws clean and intuitive lines for:
Take-Profit Level: Highlighted in fuchsia.
Buy Levels: Clearly marked with aqua lines.
Zero Line: Your base price, shown in white.
Additional labels provide:
A summary of key metrics like total cost, entry price, and range.
Precise price values for the take-profit and lowest buy levels.
How to Use MARTINGALE8
Step 1: Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Click on the “Indicators” tab in TradingView.
Search for “MARTINGALE8” and add it to your chart.
Step 2: Configure the Inputs
Navigate to the Settings menu of the indicator and adjust the following parameters:
Start Price : Set your starting price or leave it as 0 to use the current market price.
Entry Size : Define the size of your initial trade (e.g., 7.5 USDT).
Order Multiplier : Choose how much larger each subsequent order should be.
Order Deviation : Specify the percentage distance between buy levels.
Profit Deviation : Set your desired percentage for the take-profit level.
Length : Adjust the number of bars to analyze for high volume.
Step 3: Visualize the Levels
The indicator will plot:
A white line for the base price.
Aqua lines for the buy levels.
A fuchsia line for the take-profit level.
Step 4: Monitor the Labels
Look for the summary label on the chart, which shows:
Total cost of the martingale orders.
Entry price and key market metrics (range, high-volume bar price).
Tips for Optimal Use
Adjust Inputs to Match Market Conditions : Experiment with order and profit deviations to account for volatile or steady markets.
Manage Risk : Use the cost calculation feature to ensure you allocate capital responsibly.
Technical Details
The script is written in Pine Script v6 and uses:
Switch Statements : For flexible default values.
Line Objects : To draw and update key price levels dynamically.
Labels : To display relevant trading metrics.
I’m glad to share this tool with the TradingView community. If you enjoy using MARTINGALE8, please keep it going and share your feedback. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
BullBear with Volume-Percentile TP - Strategy [presentTrading] Happy New Year, everyone! I hope we have a fantastic year ahead.
It's been a while since I published an open script, but it's time to return.
This strategy introduces an indicator called Bull Bear Power, combined with an advanced take-profit system, which is the main innovative and educational aspect of this script. I hope all of you find some useful insights here. Welcome to engage in meaningful exchanges. This is a versatile tool suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
Unlike traditional strategies that rely solely on price or volume indicators, this approach combines Bull Bear Power (BBP) with volume percentile analysis to identify optimal entry and exit points. It features a dynamic take-profit mechanism based on ATR (Average True Range) multipliers adjusted by volume and percentile factors, ensuring adaptability to diverse market conditions. This multifaceted strategy not only improves signal accuracy but also optimizes risk management, distinguishing it from conventional trading methods.
BTCUSD 6hr performance
Disable the visualization of Bull Bear Power (BBP) to clearly view the Z-Score.
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP utilizes several interconnected components to analyze market data and generate trading signals. Here's an overview with essential equations:
🔶 Core Indicators and Calculations
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
- **Purpose:** Smoothens price data to identify trends.
- **Formula:**
EMA_t = (Close_t * (2 / (lengthInput + 1))) + (EMA_(t-1) * (1 - (2 / (lengthInput + 1))))
- Usage: Baseline for Bull and Bear Power.
2. Bull and Bear Power:
- Bull Power: `BullPower = High_t - EMA_t`
- Bear Power: `BearPower = Low_t - EMA_t`
- BBP:** `BBP = BullPower + BearPower`
- Interpretation: Positive BBP indicates bullish strength, negative indicates bearish.
3. Z-Score Calculation:
- Purpose: Normalizes BBP to assess deviation from the mean.
- Formula:
Z-Score = (BBP_t - bbp_mean) / bbp_std
- Components:
- `bbp_mean` = SMA of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- `bbp_std` = Standard deviation of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- Usage: Identifies overbought or oversold conditions based on thresholds.
🔶 Volume Analysis
1. Volume Moving Average (`vol_sma`):
vol_sma = (Volume_1 + Volume_2 + ... + Volume_vol_period) / vol_period
2. Volume Multiplier (`vol_mult`):
vol_mult = Current Volume / vol_sma
- Thresholds:
- High Volume: `vol_mult > 2.0`
- Medium Volume: `1.5 < vol_mult ≤ 2.0`
- Low Volume: `1.0 < vol_mult ≤ 1.5`
🔶 Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation (`calcPercentile`):
Percentile = (Number of values ≤ Current Value / perc_period) * 100
2. Thresholds:
- High Percentile: >90%
- Medium Percentile: >80%
- Low Percentile: >70%
🔶 Dynamic Take-Profit Mechanism
1. ATR-Based Targets:
TP1 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult1 * TP_Factor)
TP2 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult2 * TP_Factor)
TP3 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult3 * TP_Factor)
- ATR Calculation:
ATR_t = (True Range_1 + True Range_2 + ... + True Range_baseAtrLength) / baseAtrLength
2. Adjustment Factors:
TP_Factor = (vol_score + price_score) / 2
- **vol_score** and **price_score** are based on current volume and price percentiles.
Local performance
🔶 Entry and Exit Logic
1. Long Entry: If Z-Score crosses above 1.618, then Enter Long.
2. Short Entry: If Z-Score crosses below -1.618, then Enter Short.
3. Exiting Positions:
If Long and Z-Score crosses below 0:
Exit Long
If Short and Z-Score crosses above 0:
Exit Short
4. Take-Profit Execution:
- Set multiple exit orders at dynamically calculated TP levels based on ATR and adjusted by `TP_Factor`.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy determines trade direction using the Z-Score from the BBP indicator:
- Long Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses above 1.618.
- Short Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses below -1.618.
- Exiting Trades:
- Long Exit: Z-Score drops below 0.
- Short Exit: Z-Score rises above 0.
This approach aligns trades with prevailing market trends, increasing the likelihood of successful outcomes.
█ Usage
Implementing the BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP in TradingView involves:
1. Adding the Strategy:
- Copy the Pine Script code.
- Paste it into TradingView's Pine Editor.
- Save and apply the strategy to your chart.
2. Configuring Settings:
- Adjust parameters like EMA length, Z-Score thresholds, ATR multipliers, volume periods, and percentile settings to match your trading preferences and asset behavior.
3. Backtesting:
- Use TradingView’s backtesting tools to evaluate historical performance.
- Analyze metrics such as profit factor, drawdown, and win rate.
4. Optimization:
- Fine-tune parameters based on backtesting results.
- Test across different assets and timeframes to enhance adaptability.
5. Deployment:
- Apply the strategy in a live trading environment.
- Continuously monitor and adjust settings as market conditions change.
█ Default Settings
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP includes default parameters designed for balanced performance across various markets. Understanding these settings and their impact is essential for optimizing strategy performance:
Bull Bear Power Settings:
- EMA Length (`lengthInput`): 21
- **Effect:** Balances sensitivity and trend identification; shorter lengths respond quicker but may generate false signals.
- Z-Score Length (`zLength`): 252
- **Effect:** Long period for stable mean and standard deviation, reducing false signals but less responsive to recent changes.
- Z-Score Threshold (`zThreshold`): 1.618
- **Effect:** Higher threshold filters out weaker signals, focusing on significant market moves.
Take Profit Settings:
- Use Take Profit (`useTP`): Enabled (`true`)
- **Effect:** Activates dynamic profit-taking, enhancing profitability and risk management.
- ATR Period (`baseAtrLength`): 20
- **Effect:** Shorter period for sensitive volatility measurement, allowing tighter profit targets.
- ATR Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Define conservative to aggressive profit targets based on volatility.
- Position Sizes:
- **Effect:** Diversifies profit-taking across multiple levels, balancing risk and reward.
Volume Analysis Settings:
- Volume MA Period (`vol_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Longer period for stable volume average, reducing the impact of short-term spikes.
- Volume Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Determines volume conditions affecting take-profit adjustments.
- Volume Factors:
- **Effect:** Adjusts ATR multipliers based on volume strength.
Percentile Analysis Settings:
- Percentile Period (`perc_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Balances historical context with responsiveness to recent data.
- Percentile Thresholds:
- **Effect:** Defines price and volume percentile levels influencing take-profit adjustments.
- Percentile Factors:
- **Effect:** Modulates ATR multipliers based on price percentile strength.
Impact on Performance:
- EMA Length: Shorter EMAs increase sensitivity but may cause more false signals; longer EMAs provide stability but react slower to market changes.
- Z-Score Parameters:*Longer Z-Score periods create more stable signals, while higher thresholds reduce trade frequency but increase signal reliability.
- ATR Multipliers and Position Sizes: Higher multipliers allow for larger profit targets with increased risk, while diversified position sizes help in securing profits at multiple levels.
- Volume and Percentile Settings: These adjustments ensure that take-profit targets adapt to current market conditions, enhancing flexibility and performance across different volatility environments.
- Commission and Slippage: Accurate settings prevent overestimation of profitability and ensure the strategy remains viable after accounting for trading costs.
Conclusion
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP offers a robust framework by combining BBP indicators with volume and percentile analyses. Its dynamic take-profit mechanism, tailored through ATR adjustments, ensures that traders can effectively capture profits while managing risks in varying market conditions.
HMA Buy Sell Signals - Profit ManagerNote : Settings should be adjusted according to the selected time frame. Try to find the best setting according to the profitability rate
Overall Functionality
This script combines several trading tools to create a comprehensive system for trend analysis, trade execution, and performance tracking. Users can identify market trends using specific moving averages and RSI indicators while managing profit and loss levels automatically.
Trend Detection and Trade Signals
Hull Moving Averages (HMA):
Two HMAs (a faster one and a slower one) are used to determine the market trend.
A buy signal is generated when the faster HMA crosses above the slower HMA.
Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the faster HMA crosses below the slower one.
Visual Feedback:
Trend lines on the chart change color to reflect the trend direction (e.g., green for upward trends and red for downward trends).
Trade Levels and Management
Entry, Take-Profit, and Stop-Loss Levels:
When the trend shifts upwards, the script calculates entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels based on the opening price.
Similarly, for downward trends, these levels are determined for short trades.
Commission Tracking:
Each trade includes a commission cost, which is factored into net profit and loss calculations.
Dynamic Labels:
Entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels are visually marked on the chart for easier tracking.
Performance Tracking
Profit and Loss Tracking:
The script keeps a running total of profits, losses, and commissions for both long and short trades.
It also calculates the net profit after all costs are considered.
Performance Table:
A table is displayed on the chart summarizing:
The number of trades.
Total profit and loss for long and short positions.
Commission costs.
Net profit.
Fractal Support and Resistance
Dynamic Lines:
The script identifies the most recent significant highs and lows using fractals.
It draws support and resistance lines that automatically update as new fractals form.
Simplified Visuals:
The chart always shows the last two support and resistance lines, keeping the visualization clean and focused.
RSI-Based Signals
Overbought and Oversold Levels:
RSI is used to identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions.
The script generates buy signals at oversold levels and sell signals at overbought levels.
Chart Indicators:
Arrows and labels appear on the chart to highlight these RSI-based opportunities.
Customization
The script allows users to customize key parameters such as:
Moving average lengths for trend detection.
Take-profit and stop-loss percentages.
Timeframes for backtesting.
Starting capital and commission rates.
Conclusion
This script is a versatile tool for traders, combining trend detection, automated trade management, and visual feedback. It simplifies decision-making by providing clear signals and tracking performance metrics, making it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
* The most recently drawn fractals represent potential support and resistance levels. If the price aligns with these levels at the time of entering a trade, it may indicate a likelihood of reversal. In such cases, it’s advisable to either avoid entering the trade altogether or proceed with increased caution.
Unlock the Power of Seasonality: Monthly Performance StrategyThe Monthly Performance Strategy leverages the power of seasonality—those cyclical patterns that emerge in financial markets at specific times of the year. From tax deadlines to industry-specific events and global holidays, historical data shows that certain months can offer strong opportunities for trading. This strategy was designed to help traders capture those opportunities and take advantage of recurring market patterns through an automated and highly customizable approach.
The Inspiration Behind the Strategy:
This strategy began with the idea that market performance is often influenced by seasonal factors. Historically, certain months outperform others due to a variety of reasons, like earnings reports, holiday shopping, or fiscal year-end events. By identifying these periods, traders can better time their market entries and exits, giving them an advantage over those who solely rely on technical indicators or news events.
The Monthly Performance Strategy was built to take this concept and automate it. Instead of manually analyzing market data for each month, this strategy enables you to select which months you want to focus on and then executes trades based on predefined rules, saving you time and optimizing the performance of your trades.
Key Features:
Customizable Month Selection: The strategy allows traders to choose specific months to test or trade on. You can select any combination of months—for example, January, July, and December—to focus on based on historical trends. Whether you’re targeting the historically strong months like December (often driven by the 'Santa Rally') or analyzing quieter months for low volatility trades, this strategy gives you full control.
Automated Monthly Entries and Exits: The strategy automatically enters a long position on the first day of your selected month(s) and exits the trade at the beginning of the next month. This makes it perfect for traders who want to benefit from seasonal patterns without manually monitoring the market. It ensures precision in entering and exiting trades based on pre-set timeframes.
Re-entry on Stop Loss or Take Profit: One of the standout features of this strategy is its ability to re-enter a trade if a position hits the stop loss (SL) or take profit (TP) level during the selected month. If your trade reaches either a SL or TP before the month ends, the strategy will automatically re-enter a new trade the next trading day. This feature ensures that you capture multiple trading opportunities within the same month, instead of exiting entirely after a successful or unsuccessful trade. Essentially, it keeps your capital working for you throughout the entire month, not just when conditions align perfectly at the beginning.
Built-in Risk Management: Risk management is a vital part of this strategy. It incorporates an Average True Range (ATR)-based stop loss and take profit system. The ATR helps set dynamic levels based on the market’s volatility, ensuring that your stops and targets adjust to changing market conditions. This not only helps limit potential losses but also maximizes profit potential by adapting to market behavior.
Historical Performance Testing: You can backtest this strategy on any period by setting the start year. This allows traders to analyze past market data and optimize their strategy based on historical performance. You can fine-tune which months to trade based on years of data, helping you identify trends and patterns that provide the best trading results.
Versatility Across Asset Classes: While this strategy can be particularly effective for stock market indices and sector rotation, it’s versatile enough to apply to other asset classes like forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. Each asset class may exhibit different seasonal behaviors, allowing you to explore opportunities across various markets with this strategy.
How It Works:
The trader selects which months to test or trade, for example, January, April, and October.
The strategy will automatically open a long position on the first trading day of each selected month.
If the trade hits either the take profit or stop loss within the month, the strategy will close the current position and re-enter a new trade on the next trading day, provided the month has not yet ended. This ensures that the strategy continues to capture any potential gains throughout the month, rather than stopping after one successful trade.
At the start of the next month, the position is closed, and if the next month is also selected, a new trade is initiated following the same process.
Risk Management and Dynamic Adjustments:
Incorporating risk management with this strategy is as easy as turning on the ATR-based system. The strategy will automatically calculate stop loss and take profit levels based on the market’s current volatility, adjusting dynamically to the conditions. This ensures that the risk is controlled while allowing for flexibility in capturing profits during both high and low volatility periods.
Maximizing the Seasonal Edge:
By automating entries and exits based on specific months and combining that with dynamic risk management, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy takes advantage of seasonal patterns without requiring constant monitoring. The added re-entry feature after hitting a stop loss or take profit ensures that you are always in the game, maximizing your chances to capture profitable trades during favorable seasonal periods.
Who Can Benefit from This Strategy?
This strategy is perfect for traders who:
Want to exploit the predictable, recurring patterns that occur during specific months of the year.
Prefer a hands-off, automated trading approach that allows them to focus on other aspects of their portfolio or life.
Seek to manage risk effectively with ATR-based stop losses and take profits that adjust to market conditions.
Appreciate the ability to re-enter trades when a take profit or stop loss is hit within the month, ensuring that they don't miss out on multiple opportunities during a favorable period.
In summary, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy provides traders with a comprehensive tool to capitalize on seasonal trends, optimize their trading opportunities throughout the year, and manage risk effectively. The built-in re-entry system ensures you continue to benefit from the market even after hitting targets within the same month, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to maximize their edge in any market.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The Monthly Performance Strategy is designed to help traders identify seasonal trends, but past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to carefully consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading goals before using any strategy. Always use appropriate risk management and consult with a professional financial advisor if necessary. The use of this strategy does not eliminate the risk of losses, and traders should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment. Be sure to test the strategy on a demo account before applying it in live markets.
Intramarket Difference Index StrategyHi Traders !!
The IDI Strategy:
In layman’s terms this strategy compares two indicators across markets and exploits their differences.
note: it is best the two markets are correlated as then we know we are trading a short to long term deviation from both markets' general trend with the assumption both markets will trend again sometime in the future thereby exhausting our trading opportunity.
📍 Import Notes:
This Strategy calculates trade position size independently (i.e. risk per trade is controlled in the user inputs tab), this means that the ‘Order size’ input in the ‘Properties’ tab will have no effect on the strategy. Why ? because this allows us to define custom position size algorithms which we can use to improve our risk management and equity growth over time. Here we have the option to have fixed quantity or fixed percentage of equity ATR (Average True Range) based stops in addition to the turtle trading position size algorithm.
‘Pyramiding’ does not work for this strategy’, similar to the order size input togeling this input will have no effect on the strategy as the strategy explicitly defines the maximum order size to be 1.
This strategy is not perfect, and as of writing of this post I have not traded this algo.
Always take your time to backtests and debug the strategy.
🔷 The IDI Strategy:
By default this strategy pulls data from your current TV chart and then compares it to the base market, be default BINANCE:BTCUSD . The strategy pulls SMA and RSI data from either market (we call this the difference data), standardizes the data (solving the different unit problem across markets) such that it is comparable and then differentiates the data, calling the result of this transformation and difference the Intramarket Difference (ID). The formula for the the ID is
ID = market1_diff_data - market2_diff_data (1)
Where
market(i)_diff_data = diff_data / ATR(j)_market(i)^0.5,
where i = {1, 2} and j = the natural numbers excluding 0
Formula (1) interpretation is the following
When ID > 0: this means the current market outperforms the base market
When ID = 0: Markets are at long run equilibrium
When ID < 0: this means the current market underperforms the base market
To form the strategy we define one of two strategy type’s which are Trend and Mean Revesion respectively.
🔸 Trend Case:
Given the ‘‘Strategy Type’’ is equal to TREND we define a threshold for which if the ID crosses over we go long and if the ID crosses under the negative of the threshold we go short.
The motivating idea is that the ID is an indicator of the two symbols being out of sync, and given we know volatility clustering, momentum and mean reversion of anomalies to be a stylised fact of financial data we can construct a trading premise. Let's first talk more about this premise.
For some markets (cryptocurrency markets - synthetic symbols in TV) the stylised fact of momentum is true, this means that higher momentum is followed by higher momentum, and given we know momentum to be a vector quantity (with magnitude and direction) this momentum can be both positive and negative i.e. when the ID crosses above some threshold we make an assumption it will continue in that direction for some time before executing back to its long run equilibrium of 0 which is a reasonable assumption to make if the market are correlated. For example for the BTCUSD - ETHUSD pair, if the ID > +threshold (inputs for MA and RSI based ID thresholds are found under the ‘‘INTRAMARKET DIFFERENCE INDEX’’ group’), ETHUSD outperforms BTCUSD, we assume the momentum to continue so we go long ETHUSD.
In the standard case we would exit the market when the IDI returns to its long run equilibrium of 0 (for the positive case the ID may return to 0 because ETH’s difference data may have decreased or BTC’s difference data may have increased). However in this strategy we will not define this as our exit condition, why ?
This is because we want to ‘‘let our winners run’’, to achieve this we define a trailing Donchian Channel stop loss (along with a fixed ATR based stop as our volatility proxy). If we were too use the 0 exit the strategy may print a buy signal (ID > +threshold in the simple case, market regimes may be used), return to 0 and then print another buy signal, and this process can loop may times, this high trade frequency means we fail capture the entire market move lowering our profit, furthermore on lower time frames this high trade frequencies mean we pay more transaction costs (due to price slippage, commission and big-ask spread) which means less profit.
By capturing the sum of many momentum moves we are essentially following the trend hence the trend following strategy type.
Here we also print the IDI (with default strategy settings with the MA difference type), we can see that by letting our winners run we may catch many valid momentum moves, that results in a larger final pnl that if we would otherwise exit based on the equilibrium condition(Valid trades are denoted by solid green and red arrows respectively and all other valid trades which occur within the original signal are light green and red small arrows).
another example...
Note: if you would like to plot the IDI separately copy and paste the following code in a new Pine Script indicator template.
indicator("IDI")
// INTRAMARKET INDEX
var string g_idi = "intramarket diffirence index"
ui_index_1 = input.symbol("BINANCE:BTCUSD", title = "Base market", group = g_idi)
// ui_index_2 = input.symbol("BINANCE:ETHUSD", title = "Quote Market", group = g_idi)
type = input.string("MA", title = "Differrencing Series", options = , group = g_idi)
ui_ma_lkb = input.int(24, title = "lookback of ma and volatility scaling constant", group = g_idi)
ui_rsi_lkb = input.int(14, title = "Lookback of RSI", group = g_idi)
ui_atr_lkb = input.int(300, title = "ATR lookback - Normalising value", group = g_idi)
ui_ma_threshold = input.float(5, title = "Threshold of Upward/Downward Trend (MA)", group = g_idi)
ui_rsi_threshold = input.float(20, title = "Threshold of Upward/Downward Trend (RSI)", group = g_idi)
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
// CUSTOM FUNCTIONS |
//<<+----------------------------------------------------------------+{
// construct UDT (User defined type) containing the IDI (Intramarket Difference Index) source values
// UDT will hold many variables / functions grouped under the UDT
type functions
float Close // close price
float ma // ma of symbol
float rsi // rsi of the asset
float atr // atr of the asset
// the security data
getUDTdata(symbol, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback) =>
indexHighTF = barstate.isrealtime ? 1 : 0
= request.security(symbol, timeframe = timeframe.period,
expression = [close , // Instentiate UDT variables
ta.sma(close, malookback) ,
ta.rsi(close, rsilookback) ,
ta.atr(atrlookback) ])
data = functions.new(close_, ma_, rsi_, atr_)
data
// Intramerket Difference Index
idi(type, symbol1, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback, mathreshold, rsithreshold) =>
threshold = float(na)
index1 = getUDTdata(symbol1, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback)
index2 = getUDTdata(syminfo.tickerid, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback)
// declare difference variables for both base and quote symbols, conditional on which difference type is selected
var diffindex1 = 0.0, var diffindex2 = 0.0,
// declare Intramarket Difference Index based on series type, note
// if > 0, index 2 outpreforms index 1, buy index 2 (momentum based) until equalibrium
// if < 0, index 2 underpreforms index 1, sell index 1 (momentum based) until equalibrium
// for idi to be valid both series must be stationary and normalised so both series hae he same scale
intramarket_difference = 0.0
if type == "MA"
threshold := mathreshold
diffindex1 := (index1.Close - index1.ma) / math.pow(index1.atr*malookback, 0.5)
diffindex2 := (index2.Close - index2.ma) / math.pow(index2.atr*malookback, 0.5)
intramarket_difference := diffindex2 - diffindex1
else if type == "RSI"
threshold := rsilookback
diffindex1 := index1.rsi
diffindex2 := index2.rsi
intramarket_difference := diffindex2 - diffindex1
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
// STRATEGY FUNCTIONS CALLS |
//<<+----------------------------------------------------------------+{
// plot the intramarket difference
= idi(type,
ui_index_1,
ui_ma_lkb,
ui_rsi_lkb,
ui_atr_lkb,
ui_ma_threshold,
ui_rsi_threshold)
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
plot(intramarket_difference, color = color.orange)
hline(type == "MA" ? ui_ma_threshold : ui_rsi_threshold, color = color.green)
hline(type == "MA" ? -ui_ma_threshold : -ui_rsi_threshold, color = color.red)
hline(0)
Note it is possible that after printing a buy the strategy then prints many sell signals before returning to a buy, which again has the same implication (less profit. Potentially because we exit early only for price to continue upwards hence missing the larger "trend"). The image below showcases this cenario and again, by allowing our winner to run we may capture more profit (theoretically).
This should be clear...
🔸 Mean Reversion Case:
We stated prior that mean reversion of anomalies is an standerdies fact of financial data, how can we exploit this ?
We exploit this by normalizing the ID by applying the Ehlers fisher transformation. The transformed data is then assumed to be approximately normally distributed. To form the strategy we employ the same logic as for the z score, if the FT normalized ID > 2.5 (< -2.5) we buy (short). Our exit conditions remain unchanged (fixed ATR stop and trailing Donchian Trailing stop)
🔷 Position Sizing:
If ‘‘Fixed Risk From Initial Balance’’ is toggled true this means we risk a fixed percentage of our initial balance, if false we risk a fixed percentage of our equity (current balance).
Note we also employ a volatility adjusted position sizing formula, the turtle training method which is defined as follows.
Turtle position size = (1/ r * ATR * DV) * C
Where,
r = risk factor coefficient (default is 20)
ATR(j) = risk proxy, over j times steps
DV = Dollar Volatility, where DV = (1/Asset Price) * Capital at Risk
🔷 Risk Management:
Correct money management means we can limit risk and increase reward (theoretically). Here we employ
Max loss and gain per day
Max loss per trade
Max number of consecutive losing trades until trade skip
To read more see the tooltips (info circle).
🔷 Take Profit:
By defualt the script uses a Donchain Channel as a trailing stop and take profit, In addition to this the script defines a fixed ATR stop losses (by defualt, this covers cases where the DC range may be to wide making a fixed ATR stop usefull), ATR take profits however are defined but optional.
ATR SL and TP defined for all trades
🔷 Hurst Regime (Regime Filter):
The Hurst Exponent (H) aims to segment the market into three different states, Trending (H > 0.5), Random Geometric Brownian Motion (H = 0.5) and Mean Reverting / Contrarian (H < 0.5). In my interpretation this can be used as a trend filter that eliminates market noise.
We utilize the trending and mean reverting based states, as extra conditions required for valid trades for both strategy types respectively, in the process increasing our trade entry quality.
🔷 Example model Architecture:
Here is an example of one configuration of this strategy, combining all aspects discussed in this post.
Future Updates
- Automation integration (next update)
